Super Tuesday Results Thread (user search)
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  Super Tuesday Results Thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: Super Tuesday Results Thread  (Read 94224 times)
Intell
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,812
Nepal


Political Matrix
E: -6.71, S: -1.24

« on: March 03, 2020, 11:10:02 AM »

Just voted.  Why is there always rain in Northern Virginia when it's an election?  

To answer a question above.  I think we will get some noticeable results out of Virginia early.  Northern Virginia has gotten better about reporting, particularly Loudoun.  Anecdotal but the turnout looked large for a primary in my precinct (in Fairfax County).

Poses bad for Benie. In IA and NH we saw that the Suburbs had greatly increased democratic turnout (Biden areas) while white working class areas had abysmal democratic turnout, even lower than 2015 (Sanders areas).

Now Sanders appears to still have strong turnout amongst the younger working and middle class voters, and those who live in urban areas- which is a strength of his.
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Intell
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,812
Nepal


Political Matrix
E: -6.71, S: -1.24

« Reply #1 on: March 03, 2020, 07:58:12 PM »

NC Latinos

Biden: 48%
Sanders: 31%

THIS IS BAD
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Intell
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,812
Nepal


Political Matrix
E: -6.71, S: -1.24

« Reply #2 on: March 04, 2020, 12:39:32 AM »

Biden's margin is getting pretty large in Texas.  I don't see how Bernie spins this.  He lost MA, MN, might lose ME, is losing TX.  Lost the South by a wide margin.  I suppose if Warren stays in it they could deny Biden enough delegates, but I'm not seeing a path for Bernie to actually have the most delegates.

I'm amazed by the power of Amy Klobuchar in Minnesota. She delivered her home state to Biden on a silver platter, which should put to rest any doubts that she would have lost it had she not dropped out. And it appears that Klobuchar and Buttigieg gave Biden the support that he needed to beat both Sanders and Warren in Massachusetts.

Are we convinced it was Klobuchar?  Biden seems to be overperforming everywhere.  Maine, though an older population, is surprising to me.

Older WWC democrats are Biden voters- these seem to be your prime Sanders ->Biden voters, which does bode well for him in the general as he is also strong in the surburbs and with black voters. Latinos and younger voters will be a problem for him though.
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Intell
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,812
Nepal


Political Matrix
E: -6.71, S: -1.24

« Reply #3 on: March 04, 2020, 09:26:19 PM »

Bernie's ultimate mistake was running against Obama's legacy in 2016.

That is why the blacks never took a liking to him.  

Can you imagine the GOP candidate in 1988 saying that Reagan was a massive disappointment and that Ronnie Raygun should have been primaried in 1984?  Such a candidate would have been shut the hell down.   But liberals are waaaaaay too nice, and they allowed Bernie to run his yap.  

lulz

Well, that might be part of it. But really for all the outreach Sanders was doing that earned him the support of Latin voters, whatever he did clearly didn't attract too many new black voters to his camp.

In my understanding of black voters, they put a lot of emphasis on trust. It appears that most just still don't trust Sanders for whatever reason.

Black voters have much more positive opinions of the democratic party and the democratic 'establishment' than latinos, you can see this in down ballot races. The democratic establishment attacks feel like an attack to black leaders in their community.
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