COVID-19 Megathread 5: The Trumps catch COVID-19

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

Another day another 30k new cases sadly this isnt slowing down

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

So what are the chances schools don't meet in the fall?

The chance of the initial crisis continuing into July even, is close to 0.

How do you think things will be looking in 3 months from now on this date? The 23rd?

Pretty close to normal. Maybe 100-200 cases per day, with 3-10 deaths per day.

That would be fantastic news, but unfortunately I suspect you are being wildly overoptimistic.

Fortunately for you and everyone else, i'm not. This is the neutral scenario, and it's what the models and experts are saying.

Well a lot of these models had us starting the descend a week ago and only say we will have 60k deaths... we are going to blow past that in 2 weeks

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

Another day another 30k new cases sadly this isnt slowing down

Can you stop? You realize not only is our testing system being swelled currently, but it's also Thursday, which is basically the anti-Sunday in terms of new positives.

So what are the chances schools don't meet in the fall?

The chance of the initial crisis continuing into July even, is close to 0.

How do you think things will be looking in 3 months from now on this date? The 23rd?

Pretty close to normal. Maybe 100-200 cases per day, with 3-10 deaths per day.

That would be fantastic news, but unfortunately I suspect you are being wildly overoptimistic.

Fortunately for you and everyone else, i'm not. This is the neutral scenario, and it's what the models and experts are saying.

Well a lot of these models had us starting the descend a week ago and only say we will have 60k deaths... we are going to blow past that in 2 weeks

We did descend a week ago, and we are still descending now.

I'm disproving your bs takes that we are somehow on the descend. I keep track just like you do and we are not going down the quicker you learn this fact the quicker this thread will be free of your useless drivel

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

IHME model now pushed back the dates where many states can safely reopen. Georgia is now June 22nd, Florida is June 14th, Illinois is may 16th

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

IHME model now pushed back the dates where many states can safely reopen. Georgia is now June 22nd, Florida is June 14th, Illinois is may 16th

What

New cases today ar over 1,000 one of the highest recorded

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

IHME model now pushed back the dates where many states can safely reopen. Georgia is now June 22nd, Florida is June 14th, Illinois is may 16th

What

New cases today ar over 1,000 one of the highest recorded

You do know, the trend is what is important....

You do know i dont give a damn what you say...

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

Georgia better be lucky it's a southern state, cause the heat is all that's gonna save them now.

IHME model now pushed back the dates where many states can safely reopen. Georgia is now June 22nd, Florida is June 14th, Illinois is may 16th

What

New cases today ar over 1,000 one of the highest recorded

Breaking news: Backlog inserted!!!!

Prepare for your inevitable doom! Mwahahaha!

It wasnt a backlog

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

I'm ashamed to be American when the Dear Leader says we need to be irradiated and injected with bleach and says it with such a serious tone...

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

It's not clear to me that we're going down. If you start at March 31 and fit a curve to now it has a negative slope, yes. If you start at April 9, it's almost flat.

That's when people started protesting stay at home orders and data suggests there was a bit of an uptick of people going up, and then a small spike when Wisconsin voted.

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

This is such an embarrassment. What the hell is this crap?

https://twitter.com/atrupar/status/1253455713034211328

For anyone who still supports this guy, this is your wake-up call. Look at this. We deserve better than this.

Donald Trump actually predicted that the left-wing media will report him as misconstruing his enthusiasm for the results about UV sunlight and alcohols' effect on the Corona-virus.

It was not that bad if anyone watched the briefing. Donald was asking Dr Birx great questions about how best to use these new results.

The media was very excited about the results and asked a great question about sunlight.

"If sunlight is so great, then should we ask people to go outside more to avoid infection?"

We are not getting any interesting scientific discussion of these new results here. We are getting the "Tweet - I Hate Trump" brigade hijacking the thread daily with their political bent and missing some of the really interesting outcomes that were discussed today.

The effect of summer heat and humidity is worth discussing.

Even Birx was looking a bit angered by those comments, she was not happy with them at all.

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

It's not clear to me that we're going down. If you start at March 31 and fit a curve to now it has a negative slope, yes. If you start at April 9, it's almost flat.

There are places where the curve is gradually going down and places where it isn’t.  The troubling thing is that there is no evidence to me that the lockdowns themselves are causing the curves to go down in those places.  These tend to be the places that were already hardest hit, where the decline could purely be attributable to progress toward herd immunity. (I.e. If the curve has declined 25% in NYC, that could just be because 25% of NYC residents were already infected and are now immune.)

TBH, I'm still not convinced by the antibody studies, they haven't been approved fully yet and there have been high rate of false results, there's a good chance I could go and get the antibody test and it would give me a false negative

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

Another day another 30k new cases on the table

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

Businesses in Georgia that reopened are reporting they're not getting any customers pretty much. One barber shop in Atlanta reported on fridays they usually get 80 to 100 people but so far today they only got 2

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

https://miami.cbslocal.com/2020/04/24/miami-dade-covid-19-screening-program-infection-rate/

The early findings of SPARK-C, the Surveillance Program Assessing Risk and Knowledge of Coronavirus, a public-private partnership designed to determine the actual rate of COVID-19 exposure in the community found 6% of participants tested positive for COVID-19 antibodies, which equates to 165,000 Miami-Dade County residents.

This figure directly contrasts with testing site data.

As of Friday afternoon, there are 10,700 positive cases, according to the Florida Department of Health, suggesting that the actual number of infections is potentially 16.5 times the number of those captured through testing sites and local hospitals alone.

Researchers say they are “95% certain that the true amount of infection lies between 4.4% and 7.9% of the population, or between 123,000 and 221,000 residents. These results are similar but not identical to other recent, non-randomized testing programs that have been conducted throughout the United States.”

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

As I said for the last few days the U.S is NOT declining, today ALONE we broke a record for new daily recorded cases at almost 37k

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1253804899957080065

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

As I said, the U.S is not flattening we're rising

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

How is the United States testing today I'm unable to see how many tests were conducted today

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-gilead-exclusive/exclusive-trial-of-gileads-potential-coronavirus-treatment-running-ahead-of-schedule-researcher-says-idUSKCN2262X3

The Gilead stuff does not make sense to me because wasn't there a leak from one of the trials were turned out to be a major dud and they had to cancel it early because it showed no results

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

https://twitter.com/axios/status/1254150690508808192

I would be a bit hesitant to believe that because I have friends who work for Disney and they're being told they can come back probably in a couple of months not almost a year until Disney themselves say that I don't believe that

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

A restaurant in this state opened again for sit down today and they're being heavily roasted on social media with calls to take away their business license

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

I overlooked Michigan. Governor Whitmer is also requiring her state's residents to wear masks in public spaces: https://www.wndu.com/content/news/Michigans-governor-extends-stay-home-order-through-May-15-eases-rules-569918961.html. So that means we now have six states (CT, DE, MD, NJ, NY, PA) that require masks in public spaces. A correction is due to my earlier post, as I overlooked Governor Hogan in Maryland. With the exception of him, all other governors requiring masks in public spaces are Democrats. Again, I'm interested to see if masks will become a near-universal requirement, like the stay-at-home orders did.

they should be making face masks mandatory in as many places as possible.

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

So researchers in Florida discovered that probably the source of the biggest outbreak in the state was caused by people from New York fleeing the stay-at-home order to come to their second homes here, and most of their second homes are in the Gold Coast and in Orlando

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

Since Arch seems to be a little late tonight, here's Nate Silver's summary from earlier today:

https://mobile.twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1254525465592725504

There's that Sunday drop off

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

https://twitter.com/axios/status/1254791955755626496

Can't wait for him to embarrass himself and tell us what kind of miracle cure we need to inject in our veins or shoved down our throats again

He probably wants to improve his polling numbers

Trump is briefing the nation today. Breaking in the last hour. So much for your petty sniping.