My roots are originally from South Carolina so I think I can speak on this subject. All though I do find it hilarious that Kiawah and Seabrook Island arguably the richest communities in the state went from Trump+28 and Trump+15 to Trump respectively to Trump+5 and Trump+3.
Its literally one of the few states that's getting more WHITE each year. .
Yeah, but the white population moving in is more Democratic than the native white population. Charleston county is actually at its Whitest it been for a while and it voted for Biden by 13 points.
But the problem for them is that a lot of the population growth is from conservative retirees moving to Horry County. At least for the next couple cycles, these trends will probably cancel each other out and largely keep the state where it is.
Yep, Horry County is the problem. If it wasn't for its growth SC's trend wouldn't look so stagnant. The same problem is happening on the NC side. Greenville and York look like they're returning to earth from their Republican sugar high and might be competitive in the next decade.
Better question: I’m deeply curious to know if Beaufort county will stay red or what the margin will be in 2022 and 2024?
I doubt it will deviate more than 2 points either way. I'm not really familiar with the Beaufort area. IMO Berkley and Dorchester are more similar to other counties Democrats have flipped. The Charleston area is arguably the most expensive non-Florida metro in the South so I'm sure most newcomers are from more expensive Blue cities.
