OSR stands with Israel
Computer89
Atlas Legend
Posts: 45,231
Political Matrix
E: 3.42, S: 2.61
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« on: August 02, 2023, 01:00:48 AM » |
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Basically all the conditions that allowed Obama to win Indiana but in reverse
1. You need a huge national wave in favor of the Republicans
2. You need the negative conditions in the country that are causing the wave to be more profound in Oregon Than the rest of the country like it was for Indiana in 2008
3. You need a characteristic republican from the West who is also extremely good at retail politics
4. You need that candidate to exploit an issue that can resonate both in helping increase base turnout and with usual democratic voters of Oregon (sorta like how Obama exploited anti Iraq war feelings among the dem base and rust belt voters to help win in Indiana).
My guess is Colorado here would be the Missouri of that election, and would stay dem
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