Electoral Map of Whites Under 30

[OSR stands with Israel]

I don't buy it. There's no way zoomer/young millennial whites are anywhere below Biden+20.

Not really even if you take the most democratic exit poll for voters under 30 , they still voted for Biden 65-31 overall and given how diverse voters under 30 are there is no way Whites under 30 are Biden + 20.

[OSR stands with Israel]

I don't buy it. There's no way zoomer/young millennial whites are anywhere below Biden+20.

Not really even if you take the most democratic exit poll for voters under 30 , they still voted for Biden 65-31 overall and given how diverse voters under 30 are there is no way Whites under 30 are Biden + 20.

I mean, maybe. It's just hard for me to believe that a majority of white 28 year-olds in Texas actually voted Trump.

It’s not hard to believe at all , the south is really racially polarized. Remember Trump won Dallas County Whites in 2016 .


Also not only did Trump win the under 30 white vote in Texas he won 60% of the under 30 white vote :

https://www.cnn.com/election/2020/exit-polls/president/texas/5

[OSR stands with Israel]

Another thing that doesn't make sense: IA whites vote left of MI whites so I don't get why the numbers would be flipped for the under-30 crowd.

Maybe Michigan whites under 30 tend to be more disproportionately college-educated, given the presence of Lansing, Grand Rapids, and Ann Arbor? Iowa whites may have a pretty consistent partisan level at all age levels by contrast.

Also the reason Iowa was a lean Dem state from 1988-2012 was cause of the farm crises , Iowa before 1988 actually had a more strongly republican history than even Kansas so I don’t think it’s that surprising a generation who doesn’t remember the farm crises reverts back to pre farm crises voting patterns

[OSR stands with Israel]

Although, it's possible there's more brain drain happening from Michigan in general. Living in CO I've met way more Michiganders (and Minnesotans and Wisconsinites) than Iowans. There's probably more disposable income and liberal tendencies that inspires younger people to leave here than Iowans.

There are a lot more Michiganders (and Minnesotans and Wisconsinites) than Iowans overall. I still don't buy that young whites in MI (and NE) voted Biden but those in IA didn't. Not to mention TX/UT/NC, especially as FL/NV go the other way.

CNN has Trump winning the young white vote in Florida by 10 points . I think the CNN white vote by age group makes more sense . I highly doubt Biden won young white voters in any southern states with the exception of Virginia .


Remember this was the overall white vote map in 2016





Southern white voters are very different from non southern white votes and with the exception of FL and VA which are no where as racially polarized as the rest of the south, every southern state probably would vote to the right of Missouri if it’s racial demographics were like the Midwest .

[OSR stands with Israel]

Although, it's possible there's more brain drain happening from Michigan in general. Living in CO I've met way more Michiganders (and Minnesotans and Wisconsinites) than Iowans. There's probably more disposable income and liberal tendencies that inspires younger people to leave here than Iowans.

There are a lot more Michiganders (and Minnesotans and Wisconsinites) than Iowans overall. I still don't buy that young whites in MI (and NE) voted Biden but those in IA didn't. Not to mention TX/UT/NC, especially as FL/NV go the other way.

CNN has Trump winning the young white vote in Florida by 10 points . I think the CNN white vote by age group makes more sense . I highly doubt Biden won young white voters in any southern states with the exception of Virginia .

Southern white voters are very different from non southern white votes and with the exception of FL and VA which are no where as racially polarized as the rest of the south, every southern state probably would vote to the right of Missouri if it’s racial demographics were like the Midwest .

I get that, but under 30's aren't racially polarized like their parents are, and states like Texas (and North Carolina, somewhat) don't quite have the same dynamics as MS/AR/TN/KY/LA/AL/MS. Like I get young whites in Georgia voting Republican since most of the white population isn't in Atlanta, but in Texas at least, I'd expect similar dynamics with young whites as AZ/CO. Perhaps I overate the percentage of the population in South Lamar, Montrose, and Oak Lawn.

While they aren’t as racially polarized as their parents are they are still much more racially polarized then the rest of the country . Arizona for example always had its white vote vote significantly to the right of any southern state. Look at this map from 2016 where whites in AZ voted more like OH whites than non VA/FL Southern states