Which election do you consider to be "Closer" (user search)
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  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  U.S. Presidential Election Results (Moderator: Dereich)
  Which election do you consider to be "Closer" (search mode)
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Poll
Question: Closer election?
#1
2000
 
#2
2016
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 88

Author Topic: Which election do you consider to be "Closer"  (Read 1284 times)
OSR stands with Israel
Computer89
Atlas Legend
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Posts: 45,148


Political Matrix
E: 3.42, S: 2.61

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« on: May 26, 2020, 03:24:42 PM »

Its 2000 without a doubt


A better comparison to 2016 would be 2004
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OSR stands with Israel
Computer89
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 45,148


Political Matrix
E: 3.42, S: 2.61

P P P

« Reply #1 on: June 02, 2020, 02:47:51 PM »

Its 2000 without a doubt


A better comparison to 2016 would be 2004

In reverse...2016 is what 2004 would have been had John Kerry won Ohio.

yup
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OSR stands with Israel
Computer89
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 45,148


Political Matrix
E: 3.42, S: 2.61

P P P

« Reply #2 on: June 02, 2020, 03:06:20 PM »

Definitely 2000. In 2016, Trump's EC lead was much wider than Bush's EC performance in 2000. Even if he lost FL, for example, Trump would still have won with 277 EVs.

Not really if he lost FL he loses MI PA and WI as well.


The reason 2016 is closer is the tipping point state went to Trump by .77% while with Bush it went to him by less than .01%
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