Obama.
Hillary would NOT have won Arkansas or West Virginia. Maybe Missouri and Montana, but lost North Carolina and Indiana in reverse.
She led all the polls in Arkansas by large margins and AR was still a Dem state then . The state gop was also considered to be a joke back then . Bush won that state twice cause he was a southern religious right conservative running against a Dem who ran way from Clinton and a North East Liberal .
Hillary back then was still viewed as Bill’s third term which is why she was popular there