Who would have won the biggest landslide vs McCain? (user search)
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  Who would have won the biggest landslide vs McCain? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Who would have won the biggest landslide vs McCain?  (Read 5128 times)
OSR stands with Israel
Computer89
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E: 3.42, S: 2.61

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« on: July 23, 2019, 04:57:56 PM »

Popular Vote: Obama

Electorally : Hillary (I think she loses NC but wins MO, MT, WV, AR)
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OSR stands with Israel
Computer89
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 45,396


Political Matrix
E: 3.42, S: 2.61

P P P

« Reply #1 on: July 24, 2019, 03:55:28 PM »

Obama.

Hillary would NOT have won Arkansas or West Virginia. Maybe Missouri and Montana, but lost North Carolina and Indiana in reverse.

She led all the polls in Arkansas by large margins and AR was still a Dem state then . The state gop was also considered to be a joke back then . Bush won that state twice cause he was a southern religious right conservative running against a Dem who ran way from Clinton and a North East Liberal .


Hillary back then was still viewed as Bill’s third term which is why she was popular there
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OSR stands with Israel
Computer89
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 45,396


Political Matrix
E: 3.42, S: 2.61

P P P

« Reply #2 on: July 25, 2019, 03:02:40 PM »

Obama.

Hillary would NOT have won Arkansas or West Virginia. Maybe Missouri and Montana, but lost North Carolina and Indiana in reverse.

She led all the polls in Arkansas by large margins and AR was still a Dem state then . The state gop was also considered to be a joke back then . Bush won that state twice cause he was a southern religious right conservative running against a Dem who ran way from Clinton and a North East Liberal .


Hillary back then was still viewed as Bill’s third term which is why she was popular there

I agree Hillary would have done better than Obama tn these states, but no way she would have won them. The last Arkansas polls were conducted over six months before the actual election. Obama lost Arkansas by 20 points, which was one of the very few states he underperformed Kerry in 2004. I just don't see how Hillary would have outperformed Obama by such a gigantic margin.


Clinton was leading by double digits in polling there while Obama was trailing around same amount :

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/ar/arkansas_clinton_vs_mccain-591.html

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/ar/arkansas_mccain_vs_obama-592.html



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