KY-SEN: Amy McGrath in (user search)
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  KY-SEN: Amy McGrath in (search mode)
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Author Topic: KY-SEN: Amy McGrath in  (Read 60532 times)
OSR stands with Israel
Computer89
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 45,403


Political Matrix
E: 3.42, S: 2.61

P P P

« on: October 14, 2019, 07:31:45 PM »

The fact that Amy McGrath is considered a "strong candidate" and McConnell is viewed as a "weak incumbent" by pundits shows you how meaningless, subjective, and utterly useless the candidate quality dichotomy (strong--weak, great--awful, good--bad) is. Just because he’s unpopular doesn’t mean that he’s an ineffective campaigner (far from it, actually).

I unironically believe that McConnell is a "stronger incumbent" than Gardner or Tillis despite being more unpopular. Shocker, I know.


McConnell is a weaker candidate  than Gardner , its just that Garden is running in Colorado while McConnell is running in Kentucky
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OSR stands with Israel
Computer89
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 45,403


Political Matrix
E: 3.42, S: 2.61

P P P

« Reply #1 on: November 05, 2019, 09:26:54 PM »

Updated prediction: Safe R -> Likely R closer to Safe than Lean.


By percentages : 99% chance McConnell wins -> 95% chance McConnell wins
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OSR stands with Israel
Computer89
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 45,403


Political Matrix
E: 3.42, S: 2.61

P P P

« Reply #2 on: November 05, 2019, 10:54:52 PM »

I think McConnell wins 56-43 next year
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OSR stands with Israel
Computer89
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 45,403


Political Matrix
E: 3.42, S: 2.61

P P P

« Reply #3 on: November 06, 2019, 02:18:19 PM »

Democrats:

PLEASE. DO. NOT. INVEST. IN. KENTUCKY.

If you absolutely MUST throw your money into a quixotic race, go for South Carolina.  Demographics are more favorable there than Kentucky, anyhow.


MS is more favorable to them then SC.
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OSR stands with Israel
Computer89
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 45,403


Political Matrix
E: 3.42, S: 2.61

P P P

« Reply #4 on: November 09, 2019, 05:57:44 PM »







Surprised ABC is more wrong than Cook
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