Alabama Megathread 4: A New Hope

[OSR stands with Israel]

I wish I could have been off work so I could have seen the results as they came in.

The first returns were pro-Jones. Jefferson county was like 85% Jones, Mobile, Tuscaloosa and Madison were >65% Jones. After about 20% reporting, Moore took the lead as the rural counties started reporting everything and Jones' counties were being slow. Montgomery and Dallas took forever. At one point Moore was 8% ahead. Then his counties all finished and what was remaining was all Jones counties, along with some Baldwin and Shelby. Jones slowly caught up and then overtook Moore. The last county to finish counting was Mobile.

NYT has a chart showing how the tally went (scroll down)

I can't believe the needle only had Moore winning for 30 minutes, it felt like an eternity.

That wasnt on who was winning the race at the time, but the probability of who was going to win the race when all the votes were counted.

[OSR stands with Israel]

If Trump is on the ballot in 2020, Doug Jones is getting blanched. I'd say he has a 10% chance of re-election, and that's being generous. The reason he won in the first place was because Trump-voting republicans who couldn't bring themselves to vote for either candidate stayed home en masse, not because of some huge surge in democratic support.
Needles so to say, these voters will not be staying home in 2020.

That’s factually wrong. They managed to get African American turnout to an historic high (even more than Obama in 2008)

Was that in percentage or in raw votes because if its in percentage then it is because a significant amount of Republicans stayed home .