Is the 2016 election more similar to 1948 or 1976? (user search)
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  Is the 2016 election more similar to 1948 or 1976? (search mode)
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1976
 
#2
1948
 
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Total Voters: 94

Author Topic: Is the 2016 election more similar to 1948 or 1976?  (Read 5320 times)
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Computer89
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« on: December 06, 2017, 04:32:43 AM »

Neither, how about 1964?

- Trump and Goldwater had little support within their own parties.
- LBJ and Hillary portrayed their opponents as dangerous extremists.
- Both Trump and Goldwater were accused of wanting to start dangerous nuclear wars.
- LBJ's running mate Humphrey is from Minnesota; Hillary's running mate Tim Kaine was born in Minnesota.
- Several newspapers that normally stayed neutral endorsed LBJ and Hillary because of who their opponents were.
- Psychologists said Trump and Goldwater were "unfit" for office.

Only difference, LBJ won in a landslide, Trump narrowly won his election.

There are a few odd similarities. However, these races are actually quite different.

*Johnson had the Great Society (much of which he had already passed) while Clinton borrowed bits of Sanders platform unconvincingly.

*Goldwater was the most right-wing nominee since at least Coolidge. Trump, if anything, was slightly left of several of his preceding Republican candidates in rhetoric.

*Johnson maintained and increased the white working-class Democratic vote outside Jim Crow territory (more than even FDR, in fact). Clinton was possibly the worst Democrat for this subset since McGovern.

*LBJ broke into heavily Republican areas across the board - rural, suburban, and urban. Clinton gained a couple points in a few suburbs but otherwise was wiped out of Republican strongholds.

*LBJ's ads attacked Goldwater's policy positions but never commented on his personality. Clinton almost exclusively attacked Trump's personality and implied that alone disqualified him.

*The public was largely optimistic about the future of the nation in 1964. 2016 was possibly the nation's most pessimistic year since the Depression.

*LBJ managed to carried most of the South despite signing civil rights legislation. By contrast racial issues were a major part of Clinton's defeat and she lost every Southern state.

*Goldwater was a Senator. Trump was a real estate billionaire turned TV star.


Virginia says hi, or you gonna suggest Ford lost every southern state too because he won those NoVA areas which "don't count".


Ford also won Oklahoma


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