Predict the number of House seats Dems will pick up in 2018 (May 2017 edition)

[The_Doctor]

I'll be consistent and say 4 seats since so far consistency has served me well. To be honest if Trumpy is still president I may have a different opinion?

[The_Doctor]

I'm uncertain but my guesses on GA and MT were mostly spot on. So far I think I'm sticking on the side of caution before projecting a major shift in the House Majority. Polarization is deeply embedded into voters' minds and I don't know the economic state of play. So far I'm sticking with minimal Democratic gains in Congress and much larger state gains.

I will say Trump remaining President on Election Day 2018 may actually hurt Republicans worse than a more stable Mike Pence.

[The_Doctor]

I will revise my prediction down to 20 for now. But I could see it as few as 6 seats or as much as 42. The large range is due to so much uncertainly in recruitment, polarization and how partisan people have become compared to 2006.

It is not even out of question it will be a President Pence.

By 2018?