HYPO: Pataki vs. Cuomo 2014

[Kraxner]

He'd do worse than Astorino did.

He'd do better actually. Pataki had three term experience and was known to be more liberal on social issues than the national GOP.  Even in 2006 he said that he would consider the state government recongize gay marriage performed in Massachusetts.  And was known to be closer to the democrats on abortion way back in 1994.

gay marriage even in 2006 was not as accepted until the last half decade.


But given the demographics in New York that has made the state more loopsided in favor of the democrats he'd have to pray that he'd get close.  

Its likely that Cuomo compared to this year would go left just like Quinn did against rauner, and Hawkins drops out just like the greens in illinois did to help quinn.

Then edge out a narrow victory. but Pataki probably gets 70-85% support in Upstate, wins the suburbs by 55-70%. But still lose because of NYC.

[Kraxner]

Pataki's time had come and gone in NY.  His last term was not very successful and suffered from the "around too long" syndrome.  In reality, many believe that 9/11 saved him going into the '02 midterms.  He wouldn't have broken 40% against Cuomo.

Oh come on thats what people said about astorino and he broke 40% just slightly.

The real problem for pataki would be his age. He's turning 70 next year. Also as i said he'll be disadvantaged by the loopsided demographics.



Also he was leading Cuomo and McCall even before 9/11.


http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/New_York_gubernatorial_election,_2002#General_election