Are we overestimaing Democrats chances with the PV as we do with Republicans in the EC? (user search)

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Are we overestimaing Democrats chances with the PV as we do with Republicans in the EC? (search mode)

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Poll

Question:

Could we see the minority vote share increase with the Republicans enough and see a 25+ margin of victory with whites for the GOP to make the PV very competitive in 2024? Under what circumstances would this happen?

#1 Yes		3 (25%)
#2 No		5 (41.7%)
#3 I don't know yet		4 (33.3%)

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Partisan results

Total Voters: 12

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Topic: Are we overestimaing Democrats chances with the PV as we do with Republicans in the EC? (Read 804 times)

RINO Tom
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Re: Are we overestimaing Democrats chances with the PV as we do with Republicans in the EC?

« on: January 02, 2021, 03:51:20 PM »

I can't say that I know, but I think it's important to distinguish between the "short term" (say, 2024 or 2028 if Biden/Harris win in 2024) and the "long term" (elections in the 2030s and especially 2040s). The coalitions in the 2030s and 2040s will almost CERTAINLY get a big shakeup, and it will upend the lazy assumptions we are all making because of what is happening now. However, the 2020 election will be a good basic guide for the dynamics of 2024, IMO, with the two nominees being good for a 1-2% change either way.

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