RINO Tom
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Posts: 17,069
Political Matrix E: 2.45, S: -0.52
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« on: October 19, 2020, 03:19:34 PM » |
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These are the Downstate counties he won last time:
Winnebago (Rockford) Rock Island (Quad Cities) DeKalb (NIU) Peoria Knox Fulton Champaign (U of I) St. Clair (Metro East, STL Suburbs) Jackson (SIU) Alexander
I think he will win Champaign, Rock Island, St. Clair, Jackson and Alexander (which voted for Rauner in 2014, yes, but voted in line with his winning margin). While there is an obvious Chicagoland/Downstate divide, keep in mind you still have a lot of Downstate areas that voted decidedly to the left of Chicago's suburban counties, especially somewhere like McHenry County (suburban and the wealthiest county in the state, giving Rauner 52% while he got 38% statewide...) in 2018 ... I mean, even places that flipped to Pritzker and were talked about the most like DuPage, Kane and Kendall Counties voted decidedly to the right of places like Peoria, Rock Island and even moreso Champaign. Illinois politics are simultaneously more complicated than "Chicago and everything else" and yet, when it comes down to the actual end numbers, pretty much just that complicated, haha.
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