FL/NH-PPP: Clinton +3 in FL, +13 in NH

[RINO Tom]

Thanks, Castro. Also, xingkerui, this is what I mean when I say NH will vote to the left of ME this year. NH is tailor-made for Clinton. Clinton is NH personified.  NH women love the Clintons, they will turn out in record setting numbers.

Just curious what you mean by this.  I'd also like to hear your articulate theory on why NH is East Vermont now but wasn't in 2000.

Additionally, I don't think anyone on this site has questioned that Trump would almost certainly lose NH, it's just you posting about the state all the time - especially in threads that aren't about NH - gets super tiresome.  You've also made highly debatable claims like CT and IL would flip in a national election before NH.

[RINO Tom]

Thanks, Castro. Also, xingkerui, this is what I mean when I say NH will vote to the left of ME this year. NH is tailor-made for Clinton. Clinton is NH personified.  NH women love the Clintons, they will turn out in record setting numbers.

Just curious what you mean by this.  I'd also like to hear your articulate theory on why NH is East Vermont now but wasn't in 2000.

Additionally, I don't think anyone on this site has questioned that Trump would almost certainly lose NH, it's just you posting about the state all the time - especially in threads that aren't about NH - gets super tiresome.  You've also made highly debatable claims like CT and IL would flip in a national election before NH.

States can change dramatically. In 2000, Bush was up consistently in NH by double digits but on election day, he only won it by a point because Gore undeperformed among female voters. Since then, the state has been trending Democratic hard and fast and it's now basically Eastern Vermont. I don't even think that the GOP has a New England problem in general (I think Maine will become much more competitive at the presidential level in the future), just a NH one. The 2012 and 2014 results should have made it obvious to everyone that NH is a lost cause for Republicans, so I don't know why people still rate this state a Tossup.

And yeah, I think Republicans have a much better chance of winning the IL Senate race than the one in NH.

You didn't answer my question of what you meant by saying Hillary is the "personification" of NH, and I very, very clearly used the word PRESIDENTIAL; this isn't about Mark Kirk, you have said before that in a national Presidential election, IL would flip before NH.  That's absurd.