Describe a McGovern 1972/Reagan 1980 voter (user search)
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  Describe a McGovern 1972/Reagan 1980 voter (search mode)
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Author Topic: Describe a McGovern 1972/Reagan 1980 voter  (Read 2672 times)
Mr. Smith
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« on: January 29, 2023, 01:42:35 PM »

A spiteful Ted Kennedy '80 voter.
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Mr. Smith
MormDem
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United States


« Reply #1 on: January 31, 2023, 09:44:11 PM »

A Nixon '72-Mondale '84 one would be even harder...outside of Minnesota and Marin County anyway.
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #2 on: April 11, 2023, 09:34:22 PM »

Also some of the "Jefferson" counties of California.
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Mr. Smith
MormDem
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Posts: 33,513
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« Reply #3 on: August 12, 2023, 01:35:57 PM »

America swung 13 points left between 1972 and 1980, from 61-38 R in 1972 to 51-41 R in 1980. Here's the state-by-state swing map:



Reagan actually gained in much of the Southwest, particularly California (!!). Much of the swing against him was concentrated in the South, where totally insane 40-point swings were basically routine.


The last Republican nominee to win California by a larger margin than Reagan in either 1980 or 1984 was Hoover in 1928.


1. Reagan 1980: R+16.8
2. Reagan 1984: R+16.2
3. Eisenhower 1952: R+14.6


It really seemed like California maxed out for Republicans at a presidential level at around 14-15 points as despite massive landslides in 1956/1972, the Republicans never could cross that amount until Reagan got a home state bump but even then its clear the Democrats had a pretty large floor in California.


1984 was still technically left of the center, first time of real permanence since 1956 and 1972 were islands.
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