Kentucky 2023 gubernatorial election megathread

[Mr. Smith]

Side note, can we talk about how eerily and fundamentally similar the KY governor races have been to the following Presidential races since and including 2015??
2015: Matt Bevin, outsider, non-pc candidates reasonates with the state really well against a typical milquetoast candidate
2016 president: literally same thing happened
2019 KY: Unpopular so called “populist” governor loses to a moderate establishment Dem whose father ran the state for two terms.
2020 president: moderate establishment Dem beats an unpopular so callled “populist” president, president-elect served as VP for two terms.
2023 KY: likely Daniel Cameron (the Kentucky version of RDS) going against the Kentucky version of Joe Biden.
-this shall be interesting and if I do say so-very telling of what to expect in 2024.
Also, you can say the Ky gubernatorial race has been a bellwether for the presidency since 2003.
Eventually, I will say, polarization will catch up to KY sooner or later, but I think this trend will play out for a couple more cycles ..maybe.

Bevin actually won, albeit thanks to low turnout.

Trump lost by 2 million, even with then sky-high turnout.

Besides, 1999 went D while Gore lost the next year..unless you decide the 500K counts.

[Mr. Smith]

i saw one (1) cameron sign on southern parkway (a deep blue stronghold in louisville) a few weeks ago so therefore beshear is DONE.

yard signs can be fairly telling, though its mostly Beshear who seems to be garnering strong support.

No they don’t. Signs don’t vote.

Yes they do. You’re not changing my mind.

That's why Beto won my county in 2018 and defeated Ted Cruz!

[Mr. Smith]

Riverwalk was right....Trump is gonna win 2024...American, you're breaking my heart, you're going down a path I can't follow.

Jk, it'll just mean more polarization, just like when Jim Hood still lost Mississippi in 2019.

[Mr. Smith]

Why is this race getting such little attention compared to VA 2021? In that one it was virtually the main story of the msm, and we had 1oo more pages on that thread than we do for this race a day before the election.

obviously there's more going on in the news, so that's likely it. but the cynic in me believes that the press ate VA up more bc it was "GOP winning in VA!! GOP winning in blue state!!" which entices them way more than a D winning in a GOP state.

Also, Youngkin winning was a flip, while Beshear is already the incumbent in Kentucky; he already won once, so it can't be that shocking if he wins again.

Also, don't underrate the significance of a lot of Virginia being firmly within D.C.'s orbit.  Old Dominion is literally the backyard for the mainstream political press.

Not to mention Fast Terry, minion of The Clintons [TM] is a much more fun target than some dude.

[Mr. Smith]

Can someone explain to me why Andy Beshear has such high support among conservative voters?

It's not as if he's some big leftist.

He's not a JBE or even Laura Kelly (who tacked to the right on trans sports issues) either. That's the confusion.

Why has Sununu won all the NH-Govs races until now [retiring]? There's your answer.