Virginia Mega Thread: The Youngkin Administration

[Mr. Smith]

No serious issues with T-Mac, but Carter's the better option.

[Mr. Smith]

https://mobile.twitter.com/KevinDaleyDC/status/1455292483953467401

I told yall this would happen and no it is not about ing Afghanistan like you said. lmaoo

but this does not mean that  Nova will become a GOP strong hold again. This is not the 1990s anymore.

It just means 2012 voting patterns in Nova may be more valid (very dem instead of titanium dem) and will make it very hard but not impossible for dems to win statewide going forward unless they get more wwc vote back.

The problem is, the GOP still lost the state even with those numbers.

You'll need Gillespie 2014 sorta numbers up there if you want to win as a Republican.

[Mr. Smith]

I believe it flipped to Kaine in 2018 at about this number of preceincts in, even as he won it by almost 20.

Clinton flipped at around 86-88%

Northam flipped at around 50%

So yeah, no point in worrying or claiming victory just yet for any side.

[Mr. Smith]

This is glorious

I mean…I’d take 2020 & Georgia Runoffs over this but hey

I wouldn't, if this holds.

Hell, Lee Carter probably would be flooring this right now if Trump had just been re-elected.

[Mr. Smith]

Virginia rejected Joe Biden tonight.

Kentucky and Louisiana rejected Donald Trump in 2019 too.

[Mr. Smith]

Lee Carter would've easily won this.

[Mr. Smith]

Holy crap Lynchburg! Biden narrowly won this county last year. Almost 86% of the vote is in.

Liberty University seems like Biden-Youngkin central. Trump's policies were fine to them but he said bad unchristian things, and that's worse than any policy.

Kaine barely won it in 2018, Hillary lost it by 9, and Northam either barely lost it or barely won it.

Yup, this pretty d$%nming for a former Governor that was actually quite popular when he left.

[Mr. Smith]

Although Youngkin is in the lead, I've been noticing the gap between them in total votes is slowly shrinking. Bear in mind, 18% of the vote still needs to be counted. 

Yeah, I have 2006 in mind right now. Reportedly Allen led the count for the vast portion of the night, but Webb won a very narrow plurality with the last 10% and especially the last 5% of the vote, which came from very blue areas.

This what happened with Herring the first time, except he needed a recount.

[Mr. Smith]

Recount...

T-Mac: Ironic
Herring: Poetic
Ayala: Non-sequitur

not that this is likely to happen in case, but certainly worth the consideration.

Margin is shrinking surprisingly fast, interesting to see

I was expecting the largest jump when Fairfax fully reported but it looks like other counties are having a real affect too.

It's actually not that fast at all, this what normally happens, the difference is, the lead usually switches now and it hasn't.

[Mr. Smith]

I think we might all have to collectively take back our predictions for Youngkin to win.

Chesterfield only at 61% reporting. I don't see this as a very pro-McAulife area.

It did go to Northam as a D flip for the first since the 60's, and Biden floored it. It's pretty much the only hope left and I wouldn't count on it.

[Mr. Smith]

RIP Democratic Party. That is all. Lol.

If Phil Murphy loses, I’m reregistering as an independent tomorrow.

Just give up on the Dem party. Its not worth saving. I gave up a while time ago when they decided to nominate a corpse as their standard bearer

Well said.

[Mr. Smith]

I'm done here, I'll check by here before I go to work tomorrow.