Beshear or Hood, who’s more likely to win in November?

[Mr. Smith]

While I'd say Hood at face-value, there is the Electoral College to consider in MS that will almost certainly vote for Reeves.

So Beshear it is, since he only needs a plurality.

[Mr. Smith]

While I'd say Hood at face-value, there is the Electoral College to consider in MS that will almost certainly vote for Reeves.

So Beshear it is, since he only needs a plurality.

Electoral college is only if Hood doesn't get a majority.

He won't. The votes aren't there for Hood to hit 50%+

[Mr. Smith]

While I'd say Hood at face-value, there is the Electoral College to consider in MS that will almost certainly vote for Reeves.

So Beshear it is, since he only needs a plurality.

Electoral college is only if Hood doesn't get a majority.

He won't. The votes aren't there for Hood to hit 50%+

It’s much easier to envision a map for a Democrat to win Mississippi than in kentucky

True.

But it's much easier to envision a map where a Democrat can hit 44% in both states than hit 50% in Mississippi.

Even Espy was barely able to keep it to single digits, and that was D+9 year.

[Mr. Smith]

Hood, as Mississippi has an obviously higher floor for Democrats and I can't see him doing any worse than Mike Espy who only lost by 7 pts (!!!)

Mississippi's weird electoral college thing is a constitutional anomaly that has never actually been put to a real-life test.  If Hood wins >50% and the MS Supreme Court tries to deny him the governorship, a Federal court probably overrules.  Of course, that's only if the MS Supreme Court tries to enforce this weird interpretation of the "Mississippi electoral college" that seems to be prevailing on the Forum in the first place (I bet they won't, because none of those guys like Tate Reeves very much).

Is the 1999 election a joke to you?

Or are you really telling me that the Supreme Court will just decide to be nice and bipartisan 'cuz Hood got 49.2 to Reeves 49.1?