Which state do Democrats have a better chance of carrying: NC or GA?

[Mr. Smith]

One of 'em was within 3 points despite almost no money in '08, then it remained within five points with only a penultimate minute push [the absolute last minute was of course, Michigan].

Senator wise: They were within easy range of taking out incumbent the first time, and within 5-6 points with an absolute lightweight candidate.

For the other incumbent, only a token was put in both times, last time, pretty sure Barksdale overperformed [not that that says too much]


The other state barely flipped with all the money in the world, went the other way despite a Convention setting, and finally swung even harder away and barely trended favorably.

Senator wise, the big flip came more because the incumbent ran a horrendous and otherwise wouldn't have happened...and the next time around, despite everything, they lost it.

And the other senator had good candidates thrown at him, and he won bigly anyway.


The answer is clearly then, Georgia.