NC-ABC/WaPo: Biden +1/+2 (user search)
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  NC-ABC/WaPo: Biden +1/+2 (search mode)
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Author Topic: NC-ABC/WaPo: Biden +1/+2  (Read 1997 times)
swf541
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Posts: 1,916
« on: October 20, 2020, 05:24:21 AM »
We also have plenty of district polls that are reflective of a double digit race
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swf541
Jr. Member
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Posts: 1,916
« Reply #1 on: October 20, 2020, 05:29:03 AM »
Quote from: Ljube on October 20, 2020, 05:24:48 AM
Quote from: swf541 on October 20, 2020, 05:24:21 AM
We also have plenty of district polls that are reflective of a double digit race

Maybe in those districts.


For that to happen you'd need for other areas to be drifting towards Trump vs 2016 results in the same states
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swf541
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,916
« Reply #2 on: October 20, 2020, 05:31:41 AM »
Quote from: Ljube on October 20, 2020, 05:30:44 AM
Quote from: swf541 on October 20, 2020, 05:29:03 AM
Quote from: Ljube on October 20, 2020, 05:24:48 AM
Quote from: swf541 on October 20, 2020, 05:24:21 AM
We also have plenty of district polls that are reflective of a double digit race

Maybe in those districts.


For that to happen you'd need for other areas to be drifting towards Trump vs 2016 results in the same states

Yes, the rural areas, by a lot, but not by enough, hence Biden+6. I'm guessing here, could be Biden+7. After all Florida and North Carolina are high turnout states.


How
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swf541
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,916
« Reply #3 on: October 20, 2020, 06:15:49 AM »
Quote from: Ljube on October 20, 2020, 05:35:52 AM
Quote from: swf541 on October 20, 2020, 05:31:41 AM
Quote from: Ljube on October 20, 2020, 05:30:44 AM
Quote from: swf541 on October 20, 2020, 05:29:03 AM
Quote from: Ljube on October 20, 2020, 05:24:48 AM
Quote from: swf541 on October 20, 2020, 05:24:21 AM
We also have plenty of district polls that are reflective of a double digit race

Maybe in those districts.


For that to happen you'd need for other areas to be drifting towards Trump vs 2016 results in the same states

Yes, the rural areas, by a lot, but not by enough, hence Biden+6. I'm guessing here, could be Biden+7. After all Florida and North Carolina are high turnout states.


How

This election is going to be the rural against the urban.
Trump has completely consolidated the rural vote.


He already did that in 2016 and 2018 and you completely ignored the suburban voter
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