FL-SEN (Mason Dixon): Scott leads among South Florida Hispanics

[Pandaguineapig]

Man this really is moving towards Scott, Atlas red avatars are blind to the competitive nature of this race for some reason. Nelson may have ran a good campaign in 2000 but his campaign this year has been poor so far (his ads are atrocious)

[Pandaguineapig]

So if Scott is leading among Hispanics in Southern Florida, I guess Scott might win Miami or just do a strong performance there.

Scott isnt coming close to winning Miami.

Okay so maybe around 45 % for Scott in Miami.

Trump won 54% of Cubans in 2016 and still came nowhere near Hillary in Miami-Dade.

He actually lost Cubans 50-48 according to the Latino Decisions exit poll.

But he won them according to the real exit polls and the precinct data seems to match them better. Latino decisions is an advocacy group known for fudging numbers

[Pandaguineapig]

So if Scott is leading among Hispanics in Southern Florida, I guess Scott might win Miami or just do a strong performance there.

Scott isnt coming close to winning Miami.

Okay so maybe around 45 % for Scott in Miami.

Trump won 54% of Cubans in 2016 and still came nowhere near Hillary in Miami-Dade.

He actually lost Cubans 50-48 according to the Latino Decisions exit poll.

But he won them according to the real exit polls and the precinct data seems to match them better. Latino decisions is an advocacy group known for fudging numbers

The real precinct data suggests the Latino Decisions exit poll was more accurate. If Trump got 54% of the Cuban vote, please explain these shifts in state house districts:
HD 115 (53% Cuban) went from 50-49 Romney to 54-43 Clinton
HD 103 (56% Cuban) went from 55-45 Obama to 59-39 Clinton
HD 111 (72% Cuban) went from 52-48 Romney to 52-46 Clinton
HD 114 (60% Cuban) went from 50-49 Obama to 55-42 Clinton
HD 118 (52% Cuban) went from 51-48 Obama to 55-42 Clinton

You should note that those areas have become much more black and puerto rican over the last few years. Also latino decisions claimed Trump only got 16% of the latino vote nation wide, county and precinct level data show that to be ridiculous

[Pandaguineapig]

So if Scott is leading among Hispanics in Southern Florida, I guess Scott might win Miami or just do a strong performance there.

Scott isnt coming close to winning Miami.

Okay so maybe around 45 % for Scott in Miami.

Trump won 54% of Cubans in 2016 and still came nowhere near Hillary in Miami-Dade.

He actually lost Cubans 50-48 according to the Latino Decisions exit poll.

But he won them according to the real exit polls and the precinct data seems to match them better. Latino decisions is an advocacy group known for fudging numbers

The real precinct data suggests the Latino Decisions exit poll was more accurate. If Trump got 54% of the Cuban vote, please explain these shifts in state house districts:
HD 115 (53% Cuban) went from 50-49 Romney to 54-43 Clinton
HD 103 (56% Cuban) went from 55-45 Obama to 59-39 Clinton
HD 111 (72% Cuban) went from 52-48 Romney to 52-46 Clinton
HD 114 (60% Cuban) went from 50-49 Obama to 55-42 Clinton
HD 118 (52% Cuban) went from 51-48 Obama to 55-42 Clinton

You should note that those areas have become much more black and puerto rican over the last few years. Also latino decisions claimed Trump only got 16% of the latino vote nation wide, county and precinct level data show that to be ridiculous

They literally quote precinct data in their PDF that backs up their data: http://www.latinodecisions.com/files/6514/7880/5462/PostElection2016.pdf

If their exit polls were correct hillary would have won florida by 5. Thats why most people looking back at the election use numbers from actual exit pollsters rather than interest groups