2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

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Fiji's Prime Minister First World Leader to Congratulate Biden on Election

Thank you Fiji!

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https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1325099845045071873

Pretty pathetic stuff. History is going to view Trump voters/supporters as pitiful, no doubt about that.

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A victory for Obama too. Donald "one-term loser" Trump always gonna live in the shadow of Barack "two-term winner" Obama

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So we call Biden "President-elect"

Can we call Trump "President-reject"?

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Facebook put a notification atop its apps that said that Joe Biden was projected as the winner. It will appear for hundreds of millions of Americans on Facebook and Instagram.

Gonna piss off the low-intellect Boomers

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Have any elected Republicans congratulated yet?

Several, Fred Upton just did.

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lol at all the world leaders rushing to tweet out congratulations. You can tell how happy they are

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https://twitter.com/EspuelasVox/status/1325146695391350793

This is literally the headline I've been waiting on for four years

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Wasn’t Trump going to be making a “major announcement” at like 11:30 this morning? What happened with that?

I think he was tipped off about the Election being called for Biden, so he went golfing instead

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https://mobile.twitter.com/KTVU/status/1325192553227046912
Lol this is better than sex

Great stuff. People are going to chant "loser" at him for the rest of his life. It's entirely his fault.

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i am curious to see what happens to Trump's approvals now that he's a loser

We don't have much data for what happens to presidents who lose re-election.

But we do know Bush slid in approvals after the election while Obama gained

After the GOP "lost" the midterms in 2018, Trump's approvals took a hit for a couple months

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Looking at the Colorado swings, just brutal numbers for Trump in the populous counties. Big swings from Hillary to Biden in the Denver suburbs as expected but there was also serious erosion in the GOP strongholds of Douglas County (wealthy exurban) and El Paso (CO Springs). Interestingly, Biden narrowly flipped Pueblo back but Trump managed to flip Alamosa (small rural hispanic county)

Denver +55 Clinton => Biden +64 (9 point swing)
Boulder +48 Clinton => Biden +57 (9 point swing)
Larimer +5 Clinton => Biden +15 (10 point swing)
Jefferson +7 Clinton => Biden +19 (12 point swing)
Adams +9 Clinton => Biden +17 (8 point swing)
Arapahoe +14 Clinton => Biden +25 (11 point swing)
Douglas +18 Trump => Trump +7 (11 point swing)
El Paso +22 Trump => Trump +11 (11 point swing)

Statewide +5 Clinton => +13 Biden (8 point swing)

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It seems like the popular vote has barely budged on the NYT map.  Are we expecting Biden +3 to hold?  If so, I'm a little surprised that the electoral college wasn't even more of a nailbiter (even though the tipping point state will likely be decided by <1%).

There's still a lot out in many blue states. Around +4.5 is what it will be

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So we’re in the “certification phase” now. Here are the dates to be aware of for key states

Arizona: Needs to “certify” by no later than November 23rd. AZ Sec of State (Dem) than officially verified on November 30th.

Pennsylvania: Needs to have unofficial results by today. Trump has 5 days to petition a recount. Results need to be certified by November 24th.

Michigan: Due by November 23rd

Georgia: Normally due by November 20th but can be adjusted if a recount is needed (which it is). So after the recount

Wisconsin: Has until December 1st but I believe the deadline for a recount is before then.

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Both McSally and John "stud candidate" James still have also yet to concede their Senate races, taking cues from Trump

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So Biden is easily breaking 80,000,000 votes at this point, right?  Just incredible.  Hopefully Trump stays below 75,000,000.

This is what keeps me sane - while Trump ultimately got way more votes than 2016 too, the fact that with record breaking turnout, Biden will still ultimately be about 7-8 million and ~5% ahead of Trump, an incumbent, which is hard to do - means this really was a repudiation of Trumpism any way you slice it.

What keeps me hopeful is the idea that the Dem gains are more permanent than the Rep gains.  We dramatically expanded our outreach this year with registration, fundraising and volunteerism.  That feels more permanent than Trump's magical ability to get Facebook voters to the polls.  We already saw in 2018 that those people don't show up when Trump isn't on the ballot.  If Trump and the GOP have a schism, they won't turn up in 2022 either, while the Dems can maintain the organizational edge they built this cycle.

If Trump (and the GOP to a lesser extent) keeps whining about a "rigged election", I can see some of the less political, less educated people that were swept up in Trumpmania disengaging/giving up on politics. After all, why bother voting if it's rigged and  I doubt they'll ever be as excited again

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Yeah, Washoe is 22% Hispanic while Clark is 29% Hispanic so slight erosion among that group would explain why Washoe swung a few points towards Biden while Clark actually swung a point towards Trump

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Oklahoma official results:

https://results.okelections.us/OKER/?elecDate=20201103

Still bummed about not winning Oklahoma County. So close to ending the GOP county sweep

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The Nov. 13-17 opinion poll showed that Trump’s open defiance of Biden’s victory in both the popular vote and Electoral College appears to be affecting the public’s confidence in American democracy, especially among Republicans

Wouldn't be the worst thing in the world if some of these Republicans "gave up" on participating in the political process.

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Pretty funny that any post Trump makes on Facebook, even if it’s not election related, gets flagged with a “Joe Biden won the election” disclaimer. Unsurprisingly, this has the deplorables triggered

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Woah. Massachusetts being 66-32 is something. We knew it was blue but that is BLUE

Maryland is going to be 65+ Dem too.. unreal.

Was this particular anti-Trump sentiment or was Biden just a good fit, or are both MA/MD just on a continued blueward trend?

The top 3 most educated states in the USA (highest % of Bachelor's Degrees) are....

(1)Massachusetts, (2)Colorado, (3)Maryland

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People who lean left really didn't mess around this election. Howie Hawkins only got .25%. That's the worst performance for the Green Party I've ever seen. Howie Hawkins doesn't even seem that bad, he's not a clown like Stein but still, rather impressive how united the left was this election.