Who is more likely to win?

[NHLiberal]

Obviously I don't think either will win, but Tennant would have a much greater possibility of a theoretical comeback than Brown. The NH race is more winnable for Republicans than the WV one is for Democrats overall, but Tennant's running a great campaign whereas Brown is running an atrociously bad one. Additionally, Shaheen is a much better fit for NH than Capito is for WV; a fiscal conservative and social moderate should not be doing so well in a state that is socially conservative and fiscally moderate.