Republican Wisconsin Primary results thread (polls close at 9pm ET)

[yankeesfan]

http://fox6now.com/2016/04/04/early-voting-numbers-soar-in-milwaukee-up-600-from-last-two-presidential-primaries/

'Early voting numbers soar in Milwaukee, up 600% from last two presidential primaries'

Up to 8,000 from 2008 (1,200).

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Per Harry Enten, but most of the evidence indicates that Trump polls poorest in Milwaukee County

[yankeesfan]

One thing to note is don't expect to see long lines anywhere. Wisconsin elections are very efficient, unlike Arizona. 

Hopefully we'll get quicker results than in Arizona, as well

[yankeesfan]

Cruz adviser on Fox: "election is over and Trump wins if he wins in Wisconsin"

Sounds like the Cruz camp is confident.

[yankeesfan]

http://www.jsonline.com/newswatch/374632501.html

Wisconsin Government Accountability Board looking into Trump’s visit to crucial Waukesha polling place

A supporter of Donald Trump posted a video of the candidate greeting voters outside Waukesha Fire Station #5, a polling place, shortly before noon Tuesday.

Wisconsin law prohibits election activities such as holding campaign signs or distributing leaflets within 100 feet of a polling place, according to Michael Haas, elections administrator for the Wisconsin Government Accountability Board.

Hass confirmed that he had been told by the clerk for the City of Waukesha that Trump had entered a polling place. GAB officials were looking into the matter and contacting the Trump campaign to make it aware of the state rule, he said. A spokeswoman for the campaign did not answer her cellphone and did not immediately return a telephone call.

[yankeesfan]

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2016/04/05/the-only-twitter-list-you-need-for-the-wisconsin-primaries/

List of good twitters for the primary

[yankeesfan]

Charlie Gasparino said that he was told by a Cruz staffer that if Cruz loses he's dropping out of the race.

[yankeesfan]

Here come the first exit polls

[yankeesfan]

Trump is in NY, doesn't have an election watch party tonight.  Per the Trump campaign, he is planning on blaming Kasich if he loses tonight.

[yankeesfan]

Amanda Carpenter on CNN

[yankeesfan]

Only 32% voters angry with Washington.  This is going to be a Cruz blowout!

[yankeesfan]

Only 32% voters angry with Washington.  This is going to be a Cruz blowout!

Woof! lol

53% disatisfied

[yankeesfan]

65% Republican (more than 2012)
29% Independent

[yankeesfan]

More than 4 in 10 Wisconsin Republicans think Ted Cruz has the best chance of beating Hillary Clinton in the GE

https://twitter.com/ThisWeekABC/status/717461973789581313

[yankeesfan]

I crunched the numbers on the graphic Steve Kornacki showed on MSNBC just a minute ago. 42% of Cruz/Kasich voters say the candidate with the most votes should win in a convention, 83% of Trump supporters think the same, overall its 56%. If that's the case, then the anti-Trump vs Trump split is 66/34.

So that's like a 47-34-19 vote split probably.

That's what I'd guess

[yankeesfan]

6 in 10 are excited or optimistic about a Cruz presidency
5 in 10 are excited or optimistic about a Kasich presidency
4 in 10 are excited or optimistic about a Trump presidency

4 in 10 voters are scared of a Trump presidency.

[yankeesfan]

There's not much to be excited about in these exit polls if you're the Trump campaign, unless I'm missing something

[yankeesfan]

These are just exit polls, so I'm not getting too excited just yet.

Third wave of exit polls has generally been kind to Trump, from what I remember.  So expect him to gain a bit.

[yankeesfan]

DDHQ guys are openly mocking ARG right now.

Where are you seeing that?

[yankeesfan]

DDHQ guys are openly mocking ARG right now.

Where are you seeing that?

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https://twitter.com/EsotericCD/status/717469836020989954

How professional

I know, right?  ARG is terribly unprofessional.  

[yankeesfan]

Leaked exits looks legit (HuffPost Reporter)
@ryangrim
https://twitter.com/ryangrim/status/717472505217294337

Cruz 47
Trump 35
Kasich 15

Sanders 53
Clinton 46

[yankeesfan]

If this race turns out the way these numbers are trending, I propose a motion to ban ARG from this site.

[yankeesfan]

Glenn Beck just predicted Cruz by 15% in the last half hour.  He campaigns with Cruz so he may have some inside info.  

[yankeesfan]

Late deciders
Trump 38%
Cruz 36%
Kasich 20%

[yankeesfan]

Tucker Carlson: Cruz gets 46% of somewhat conservatives (43% of electorate)

[yankeesfan]

Leaked exits looks legit (HuffPost Reporter)
@ryangrim
https://twitter.com/ryangrim/status/717472505217294337

Cruz 47
Trump 35
Kasich 15

Sanders 53
Clinton 46

This is what he posted before OH-MO-IL-NC-FL....Numbers were rather close...

Some GOP exits:
OH: Kasich 45, Trump 38
FL: Trump 47, Rubio 28
MO: Cruz 43, Trump 40
NC: Trump 39, Cruz 35
IL: Trump 40, Cruz 33

Exactly what I remembered.  Those toplines represented the first 2 waves of exit polls reporting.  When the 3rd wave came in, they changed slightly.