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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
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Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« on: March 03, 2020, 05:35:43 PM »

Please sticky (if there's a add a sticky remove a sticky standard we probably don't need the 2018 house results stickied anymore)


THIS is the thread for covering Results from the primaries across the County for House and Senate. Governor primaries are also here since there are so few states electing governors in 2020.

Here's the schedule: https://www.thegreenpapers.com/G20/events.phtml?format=chronological

We start Today with the primaries in NC, AL, AR, TX, and CA. Polls close at 7:30 in NC, 8 in AL, 8:30 in AR, no later than 9 in TX, and 11 in CA.

Results pages (incognito mode or multiple browsers are your friend):

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/03/03/us/elections/results-texas-primary-elections.html
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/03/03/us/elections/results-arkansas-primary-elections.html
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/03/03/us/elections/results-alabama-primary-elections.html
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/03/03/us/elections/results-north-carolina-primary-elections.html
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/03/03/us/elections/results-california-primary-elections.html

Projections by the Wulfric News Network will only be given after all polls have closed in the state or congressional district.

Please note that some states hold their congressional primary separate from their presidential primary, hence why these are on a different calendar than the Dem Primary calendar.

Looking forward to a fun next several months watching these races unfold.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
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Posts: 31,884
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Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #1 on: March 03, 2020, 06:41:30 PM »

To be clear, I'll be projecting CA-25 Reg here, and Projecting CA-25 Special on the main Special elections thread.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
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Posts: 31,884
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Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #2 on: March 03, 2020, 11:01:54 PM »

Let's run down what we know so far in the states voting tonight.

NORTH CAROLINA:

Senate - Cunningham (D) & Tillis (R)
NC-1 R: Smith
NC-2 D: TOO EARLY TO CALL
NC-4 D: Price
NC-4 R: TOO EARLY TO CALL
NC-5 D: Brown
NC-6: Manning (D) & Haywood (R)
NC-7 D: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
NC-9 D: Wallace
NC-10 R: McHenry
NC-11 D: Davis
NC-11 R: RUNOFF between Bennett and Cawthorn
NC-12 D: Adams
Governor - Cooper (D) and Forest (R)
Lt Gov - TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Att Gen R - TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Ag Commissioner D - Wadsworth
Auditor - Wood (D) and TOO CLOSE TO CALL (R)
Sec State R - TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Treasurer D - TOO CLOSE TO CALL

ALABAMA:

Senate R - TOO CLOSE TO CALL
AL-1 - TOO CLOSE TO CALL (both sides)
AL-2 - TOO CLOSE TO CALL (both sides)
AL-5 R - Brooks
Local Amendment - Etowah - YES
Local Amendment - Marshall - TOO EARLY TO CALL
Local Amendment - Talapoosa - TOO CLOSE TO CALL
State Amendment - Educators - NO

ARKANSAS: ALL RACES UNCONTESTED

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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
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Posts: 31,884
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Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #3 on: March 03, 2020, 11:12:42 PM »

40% iirc
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
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Posts: 31,884
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Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #4 on: March 03, 2020, 11:32:54 PM »

TEXAS

Senate - TOO CLOSE TO CALL (D) and Cornyn (R)
TX-1 R - Gohmert
TX-2 D - TOO EARLY TO CALL
TX-3 D - TOO CLOSE TO CALL
TX-5 R - TOO EARLY TO CALL
TX-7 R - TOO EARLY TO CALL
TX-8 - TOO EARLY TO CALL (D) and Brady (R)
TX-9 - TOO EARLY TO CALL (D) and TOO CLOSE TO CALL (R)
TX-10 D - TOO EARLY TO CALL
TX-11 R - TOO EARLY TO CALL
TX-12, TX-13 - TOO CLOSE TO CALL (both sides)
TX-14 - TOO EARLY TO CALL (both sides)
TX-15 R - TOO CLOSE TO CALL
TX-16 R, TX-17 (both sides), TX-18 (both sides) - TOO EARLY TO CALL
TX-19 R: Arrington
TX-20 (both sides), TX-21 D, TX-22 (both sides), TX-23 D - TOO EARLY TO CALL
TX-23 R: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
TX-24 (both sides), TX-25 (both sides), TX-26 (both sides), TX-27 D - TOO EARLY TO CALL
TX-28 D, TX-29 D: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
TX-30 D, TX-31 (both sides), TX-32 R, TX-33 D, TX-34 D: TOO EARLY TO CALL
TX-34 R: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
TX-35 (both sides): TOO EARLY TO CALL
TX-36 R: Babin


----------------------


UPDATE ON ALABAMA

Senate R: RUNOFF BETWEEN Sessions and Tuberville
AL-1 D: RUNOFF BETWEEN Gardner and Averhart
AL-1 R: RUNOFF BETWEEN Hightower and Carl
AL-2 D: Harvey-Hall
AL-2 R: RUNOFF SPOT to Coleman (second spot uncalled)
Marshall Jail Fund: YES
Talapoosa Roads: NO

UPDATE ON NORTH CAROLINA

NC-2 D: Ross
NC-4 R: Thomas
Lt Gov R: Robinson
Att Gen R: O'Neill
Auditor R: Street
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
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Posts: 31,884
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Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #5 on: March 03, 2020, 11:54:33 PM »

NORTH CAROLINA

NC-7 D - Ward
Sec State R - Sykes
Lt Gov D - RUNOFF SPOT for Holley (second spot uncalled)

TEXAS

Senate D: RUNOFF SPOT for Hegar (second spot uncalled)
TX-12 R: Granger
TX-14 D: Bell
TX-25 R: Williams
TX-26 R: Burgess
TX-34 D: Vela
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
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Posts: 31,884
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Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #6 on: March 04, 2020, 12:15:13 AM »

WRAPPING UP NORTH CAROLINA

Lt Gov D second runoff spot - Van Duyn
Treasurer D - Chatterji

--

TX-14 R - Weber
TX-5 R - Gooden
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
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Posts: 31,884
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Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #7 on: March 04, 2020, 12:32:55 AM »

TX-12 D - Welch
TX-21 D - Davis
TX-25 D - Oliver
TX-27 D - De La Fuente
TX-31 R - Carter
TX-35 D - Doggett

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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
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Posts: 31,884
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Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #8 on: March 04, 2020, 01:07:39 AM »

CALIFORNIA: FIRST SPOT ONLY CALLS unless noted otherwise

CA-1: LaMalfa (R)
CA-2: Huffman
CA-3: Garamendi
CA-4: McClintock (R)
CA-5: Thompson
CA-12: Pelosi
CA-14: Speier
CA-17: Khanna
CA-19: Lofgren
CA-22: Nunes (R)
CA-24: Carbajal (D) & Caldwell (R)
CA-26: Brownley (D) & Baldwin-Kennedy (R)
CA-27: Chu
CA-28: Schiff
CA-30: Sherman
CA-33: Lieu
CA-36: Ruiz
CA-42: Calvert (R)
CA-45: Porter
CA-52: Peters

TX-13 R: RUNOFF SPOT for Winegarner
TX-17 R: RUNOFF SPOT for Sessions
TX-18 D: Jackson Lee
TX-23 D: Ortiz
TX-34 R: Gonzalez
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
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Posts: 31,884
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #9 on: March 04, 2020, 01:47:02 AM »
« Edited: March 04, 2020, 04:28:40 PM by Nat. Sec. Council Member Dwarven Dragon »

TX-3 D: Runoff between Seikaly and Mccafferty
TX-9 D: Green
TX-15 R: Runoff between De La Cruz and Krause
TX-22 R: Runoff between Nehls and Wall
TX-31 D: Runoff between Mann and Imam
TX-11 R: Runoff between Pfluger and Batch
CA-39: Kim (R) and Cisneros (D)
CA-48: Steel (R) and Rouda (D)

MORE CA FIRST SLOT CALLS:
CA-6: Matsui
CA-7: Bera
CA-18: Eshoo
CA-20: Panetta
CA-29: Cardenas
CA-37: Bass
CA-43: Waters

Still uncalled:

AL-2 R runoff spot 2
TX-SEN D runoff spot 2
TX-13 R runoff spot 2
TX-17 R runoff spot 2
TX-2 D
TX-7 R
TX-8 D
TX-9 R
TX-10 D
TX-13 D
TX-16 R
TX-17 D
TX-18 R
TX-20 D & R
TX-22 D
TX-23 R
TX-24 D & R
TX-26 D
TX-28 D
TX-29 R
TX-30 D
TX-32 R
TX-33 D
TX-35 R

And a lot of crap in CA
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
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Posts: 31,884
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Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #10 on: March 04, 2020, 09:31:09 AM »

So, NYT says Christy Smith has 34% and Mike Garcia has 20K votes, yet the CA SOS website says Christy Smith has 40% and Mike Garcia has 9K votes. Which one is right?

CA SOS would be the official source here


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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
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Posts: 31,884
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Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #11 on: March 04, 2020, 10:06:46 AM »

CALIFORNIA

CA-1 Slot 2: Denney
CA-2 Slot 2: Mensing (R)
CA-3 Slot 2: Hamilton (R)
CA-4 Slot 2: Kennedy
CA-5 Slot 2: Giblin (R)
CA-6 Slot 2: Bish (R)
CA-7 Slot 2: Patterson (R)
CA-9: McNerney (D) and Amador (R)
CA-10: Harder (D) and Howze (R)
CA-11: DeSalunier (D) and Sharma (R)
CA-15: Swalwell (D) and Hayden (R)
CA-16: Cookingham (R) and Costa (D)
CA-17 Slot 2: Tandon (R)
CA-20 Slot 2: Gorman (R)
CA-21: Valadao (R) and Cox (D)
CA-22 Slot 2: Arballo
CA-30 Slot 2: Reed (R)
CA-36 Slot 2: Cruz (R)
CA-41: Takano (D) and Smith (R)
CA-46: Correa (D) and Waters (R)
CA-52 Slot 2: DeBello (R)


FIRST SLOT CALLS:

CA-32: Napolitano
CA-34: Gomez
CA-40: Roybal-Allard
CA-44: Barragan
CA-47: Lowenthal
CA-50: Campa-Najjar
CA-53: Jacobs

CA-UNCALLED:

CA-8
CA-12 Slot 2
CA-14 Slot 2
CA-18 Slot 2
CA-19 Slot 2
CA-25
CA-27 Slot 2
CA-28 Slot 2
CA-29 Slot 2
CA-32 Slot 2
CA-33 Slot 2
CA-34 Slot 2
CA-37 Slot 2
CA-40 Slot 2
CA-42 Slot 2
CA-43 Slot 2
CA-44 Slot 2
CA-45 Slot 2
CA-47 Slot 2
CA-50 Slot 2
CA-53 Slot 2


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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
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Posts: 31,884
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Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #12 on: March 04, 2020, 04:27:48 PM »

MORE CALLS

AL-2 R Slot 2: Moore
TX-Sen D Slot 2: West
TX-13 R runoff spot 2: Jackson
TX-17 R runoff spot 2: Swann
TX-2 D: RUNOFF BETWEEN Ladjevardian and Cardnell
TX-7 R: Hunt
TX-8 D: Hernandez
TX-9 R: Teague
TX-10 D: RUNOFF BETWEEN Siegel and Gandhi
TX-13 D: RUNOFF BETWEEN Trujillo and Sagan
TX-16 R: RUNOFF BETWEEN Williams and Armendariz-Jackson
TX-17 D: RUNOFF BETWEEN Kennedy and Jaramillo
TX-18 R: RUNOFF BETWEEN for Champion and Cadena
TX-20 D: Castro
TX-20 R: RUNOFF BETWEEN Garza and Allen
TX-22 D: Kulkarni
TX-23 R: RUNOFF BETWEEN Gonzalez and Reyes
TX-24 D: RUNOFF BETWEEN Olson and Valenzuela
TX-26 D: Iannuzzi
TX-28 D: Cuellar
TX-29 R: Blanco
TX-30 D: Johnson
TX-32 R: Collins
TX-33 D: Veasey
TX-35 R: RUNOFF BETWEEN Sharon and Hayward


Everything has now been called aside from the previously noted CA races

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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,884
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #13 on: March 05, 2020, 01:05:51 AM »

CA-8: Obernolte (R) and Bubser (D)
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
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*****
Posts: 31,884
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #14 on: March 06, 2020, 01:44:45 PM »

Swing and historically competitive CA Districts:

CA-4: 61.7% GOP
CA-7: 54.5% Dem+GRN
CA-10: 55.1% GOP
CA-21: 55.5% GOP

CA-22: 59.1% GOP
CA-24: 52.2% Dem
CA-25 Reg: 52% GOP
CA-25 Special: 52.6% GOP
CA-26: 61.2% Dem
CA-31: 60.4% Dem
CA-36: 57.7% Dem
CA-39: 50.6% GOP
CA-45: 51.4% GOP
CA-48: 52.8% GOP

CA-49: 54% Dem
CA-50: 58% GOP
CA-52: 62.6% Dem

So the GOP currently on track to win back six of the seven house seats they lost in the state last time, with only the 49th seeing the Dems get another term. 
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
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*****
Posts: 31,884
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #15 on: March 09, 2020, 10:36:44 PM »

California

Uncounted ballots (statewide): 2,889,325

Refer to the specials thread for the call on the CA-25 Special.

Uncalled Races: CA-12 Slot 2, CA-18 Slot 2, CA-19 Slot 2, CA-25 Slot 2, CA-27 Slot 2, CA-28 Slot 2, CA-29 Slot 2, CA-37 Slot 2, CA-40 Slot 2, CA-42 Slot 2, CA-43 Slot 2, CA-44 Slot 2, CA-45 Slot 2, CA-47 Slot 2, CA-50 Slot 2, CA-53 Slot 2

Latest Calls:

CA-14 Slot 2: Petel (R)
CA-25 First Slot: Smith
CA-32 Slot 2: Scott (R)
CA-33 Slot 2: Bradley (R)
CA-34 Slot 2: Kim

Margin in key districts:

CA-4: 60.2% GOP
CA-7: 56.7% Dem+GRN
CA-10: 53.8% GOP
CA-21: 55.2% GOP
CA-22: 56.9% GOP
CA-24: 56.3% Dem
CA-25 Reg: 51.4% GOP
CA-25 Special: 52.3% GOP
CA-26: 62.1% Dem
CA-31: 61.6% Dem
CA-36: 58.9% Dem
CA-39: 49.9% GOP - 45.3% Dem
CA-45: 50.3% GOP
CA-48: 51.6% GOP
CA-49: 55.6% Dem
CA-50: 56.8% GOP
CA-52: 64.3% Dem
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,884
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #16 on: March 10, 2020, 05:14:35 PM »

Tonight we have the primaries in MISSISSIPPI. Polls close at 8 ET.

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/03/10/us/elections/results-mississippi-primary-elections.html

Contested Races: Sen D, MS-2 D&R, MS-3 D&R, MS-4 R


WNN will also be continuing to watch the CA results and will make additional calls there if possible.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
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*****
Posts: 31,884
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #17 on: March 10, 2020, 07:41:26 PM »

WNN is calling MS Sen D for Espy!
WNN is calling MS-3 R for Guest!

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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
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*****
Posts: 31,884
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #18 on: March 10, 2020, 07:50:29 PM »

MS-4 R will go for Palazzo as expected!
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
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*****
Posts: 31,884
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #19 on: March 10, 2020, 07:55:38 PM »

As expected, MS-2 D will go for Thompson!

MS-2 R and MS-3 D still too early to call
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,884
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #20 on: March 10, 2020, 09:32:00 PM »

MS-3 D for Benford!
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,884
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #21 on: March 10, 2020, 10:38:05 PM »

MS-2 R: RUNOFF BETWEEN Carey and Flowers


California

Uncounted ballots (statewide): 2,373,793

Refer to the specials thread for the call on the CA-25 Special.

Uncalled Races: CA-12 Slot 2, CA-18 Slot 2, CA-19 Slot 2, CA-25 Slot 2, CA-27 Slot 2, CA-28 Slot 2, CA-29 Slot 2, CA-37 Slot 2, CA-40 Slot 2, CA-42 Slot 2, CA-43 Slot 2, CA-44 Slot 2, CA-45 Slot 2, CA-47 Slot 2, CA-50 Slot 2

Latest Calls:

CA-53 Slot 2: Gomez

Margin in key districts:

CA-4: 59.4% GOP
CA-7: 57.9% Dem+GRN
CA-10: 53.2% GOP
CA-21: 53.9% GOP

CA-22: 56.9% GOP
CA-24: 56.3% Dem
CA-25 Reg: 50.9% GOP
CA-25 Special: 52.2% GOP
CA-26: 63.6% Dem
CA-31: 61.6% Dem
CA-36: 58.9% Dem
CA-39: 49.5% GOP - 45.7% Dem
CA-45: 50.3% GOP
CA-48: 51.4% GOP
CA-49: 55.5% Dem
CA-50: 56.7% GOP
CA-52: 64.3% Dem
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,884
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #22 on: March 12, 2020, 09:18:29 PM »

California

Uncounted ballots (statewide): 1,540,833

Refer to the specials thread for the call on the CA-25 Special.

Uncalled Races: CA-19 Slot 2, CA-25 Slot 2, CA-27 Slot 2, CA-28 Slot 2, CA-37 Slot 2, CA-40 Slot 2, CA-42 Slot 2, CA-43 Slot 2, CA-44 Slot 2, CA-47 Slot 2, CA-50 Slot 2

Latest Calls:

CA-12 Slot 2: Buttar
CA-18 Slot 2: Kumar
CA-29 Slot 2: Duenas
CA-45 Slot 2: Raths (R)

Margin in key districts:

CA-4: 59.4% GOP
CA-7: 57.9% Dem+GRN
CA-10: 52.7% GOP
CA-21: 54.1% GOP
CA-22: 56.5% GOP
CA-24: 56.3% Dem
CA-25 Reg: 50.9% GOP
CA-25 Special: 52.2% GOP
CA-26: 63.6% Dem
CA-31: 61.8% Dem
CA-36: 59.9% Dem
CA-39: 49.3% GOP - 46% Dem
CA-45: 50.1% Dem
CA-48: 51.1% GOP
CA-49: 55.7% Dem
CA-50: 56.6% GOP
CA-52: 64.5% Dem


Katie Porter is now favored to hold her seat in the fall (though only just), but these results still have the GOP with a gain of 5 seats in California, one of which is set to come early via special election.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,884
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #23 on: March 16, 2020, 07:46:02 PM »

California

Uncounted ballots (statewide): 842,440

Uncalled Races: CA-19 Slot 2, CA-27 Slot 2, CA-28 Slot 2, CA-37 Slot 2, CA-40 Slot 2, CA-43 Slot 2, CA-44 Slot 2

Latest Calls:

CA-25 Slot 2: Garcia (R)
CA-42 Slot 2: O'Mara
CA-47 Slot 2: Briscoe (R)
CA-50 Slot 2: Issa (R)

Margin in key districts:

CA-4: 58.8% GOP
CA-7: 58.4% Dem+GRN
CA-10: 51.4% GOP
CA-21: 53.1% GOP
CA-22: 56.2% GOP
CA-24: 56.8% Dem
CA-25 Reg: 49.9% GOP - 48.7% Dem
CA-25 Special: 50.5% Dem
CA-26: 63.7% Dem
CA-31: 61.8% Dem
CA-36: 59.9% Dem
CA-39: 48.6% GOP - 46.6% Dem
CA-45: 50.6% Dem
CA-48: 50.7% GOP
CA-49: 55.6% Dem
CA-50: 56.5% GOP
CA-52: 64.7% Dem


Since we last looked, Dems have taken the lead in CA-25 Special. Republicans retain leads in five democratic seats including the regularly scheduled CA-25 Election, but leads have narrowed from the 12th in each case.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,884
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #24 on: March 17, 2020, 11:48:58 AM »

Illinois Primaries Tonight. Polls close at 8 ET. This link will work later:

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/03/03/us/elections/results-illinois-primary-elections.html

Lots of interesting races to cover, most compelling is probably the Illinois 3rd Democratic Primary between Moderate Republican Dan Lipinski and Socialist Marie Newman.
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