Congressional Primary Results Megathread

[We Live in Black and White]

https://twitter.com/TXElects/status/1235106216080101376

Of course he will.

At this juncture, the Democrats deserve to lose.

[Sir Mohamed]

https://twitter.com/TXElects/status/1235106216080101376

Progressives should have run a better candidate against this dude. A (latino) progressive who's more like Tammy Baldwin or John Fetterman would have won.

[Anti Democrat Democrat Club]

https://twitter.com/TXElects/status/1235106216080101376

What a ****ing disaster. Absolute ****ing ****show.

[Anti Democrat Democrat Club]

Is it ****ed I'm more upset about this than the Super Tuesday results?

[Figueira]

I hate how the media portrayed that race as a generic Dem with a Bernie-style challenger, when in fact Cuellar is a right-winger who sides with Trump most of the time.

[wbrocks67]

Orange County results not looking too hot for Dems. Significantly worse than primary election night 2018, iirc. Rouda and Cisneros are both failing to break 40%, with nearly all reporting.
Lets see how much the coming weeks of ballot harvesting change this up.

You do realize that a TON of CA results are left to come and some of the Dems were losing in 2018 en route to 3, 5, 7 point victories?

[wbrocks67]

So, NYT says Christy Smith has 34% and Mike Garcia has 20K votes, yet the CA SOS website says Christy Smith has 40% and Mike Garcia has 9K votes. Which one is right?

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

So, NYT says Christy Smith has 34% and Mike Garcia has 20K votes, yet the CA SOS website says Christy Smith has 40% and Mike Garcia has 9K votes. Which one is right?

CA SOS would be the official source here

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

CALIFORNIA

CA-1 Slot 2: Denney
CA-2 Slot 2: Mensing (R)
CA-3 Slot 2: Hamilton (R)
CA-4 Slot 2: Kennedy
CA-5 Slot 2: Giblin (R)
CA-6 Slot 2: Bish (R)
CA-7 Slot 2: Patterson (R)
CA-9: McNerney (D) and Amador (R)
CA-10: Harder (D) and Howze (R)
CA-11: DeSalunier (D) and Sharma (R)
CA-15: Swalwell (D) and Hayden (R)
CA-16: Cookingham (R) and Costa (D)
CA-17 Slot 2: Tandon (R)
CA-20 Slot 2: Gorman (R)
CA-21: Valadao (R) and Cox (D)
CA-22 Slot 2: Arballo
CA-30 Slot 2: Reed (R)
CA-36 Slot 2: Cruz (R)
CA-41: Takano (D) and Smith (R)
CA-46: Correa (D) and Waters (R)
CA-52 Slot 2: DeBello (R)


FIRST SLOT CALLS:

CA-32: Napolitano
CA-34: Gomez
CA-40: Roybal-Allard
CA-44: Barragan
CA-47: Lowenthal
CA-50: Campa-Najjar
CA-53: Jacobs

CA-UNCALLED:

CA-8
CA-12 Slot 2
CA-14 Slot 2
CA-18 Slot 2
CA-19 Slot 2
CA-25
CA-27 Slot 2
CA-28 Slot 2
CA-29 Slot 2
CA-32 Slot 2
CA-33 Slot 2
CA-34 Slot 2
CA-37 Slot 2
CA-40 Slot 2
CA-42 Slot 2
CA-43 Slot 2
CA-44 Slot 2
CA-45 Slot 2
CA-47 Slot 2
CA-50 Slot 2
CA-53 Slot 2

[libertpaulian]

https://twitter.com/TXElects/status/1235106216080101376

TAKE THAT, Occasional-Cortex!!  WHOO!

Glad to see pro-life Dems still prevailing!

[Sir Mohamed]

I hate how the media portrayed that race as a generic Dem with a Bernie-style challenger, when in fact Cuellar is a right-winger who sides with Trump most of the time.

Yup, Cuellar is no Dem like Biden or Pelosi. He's more like Joe freakin' Manchin. Too bad the dude didn't lose. A better progressive challenger would have won, I think.

[TML]

The results from TX-28 remind me of the results from IL-03 back in 2018. I wouldn't be surprised if Cuellar is challenged again in two years, just like Lipinski has been.

[Yellowhammer]

Orange County results not looking too hot for Dems. Significantly worse than primary election night 2018, iirc. Rouda and Cisneros are both failing to break 40%, with nearly all reporting.
Lets see how much the coming weeks of ballot harvesting change this up.

You do realize that a TON of CA results are left to come and some of the Dems were losing in 2018 en route to 3, 5, 7 point victories?

Yes, which is why I acknowledged it in my statement.

[Calthrina950]

The results from TX-28 remind me of the results from IL-03 back in 2018. I wouldn't be surprised if Cuellar is challenged again in two years, just like Lipinski has been.

And given that Lipinski is facing at least two other opponents besides Marie Newman, he will probably win his primary with greater ease this time around.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Orange County results not looking too hot for Dems. Significantly worse than primary election night 2018, iirc. Rouda and Cisneros are both failing to break 40%, with nearly all reporting.
Lets see how much the coming weeks of ballot harvesting change this up.

Lol dude, they are already now both well over 40, and there is a lot more to come.





They probably will still fall short of 50, but as we know it will be better in november like last time.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

MORE CALLS

AL-2 R Slot 2: Moore
TX-Sen D Slot 2: West
TX-13 R runoff spot 2: Jackson
TX-17 R runoff spot 2: Swann
TX-2 D: RUNOFF BETWEEN Ladjevardian and Cardnell
TX-7 R: Hunt
TX-8 D: Hernandez
TX-9 R: Teague
TX-10 D: RUNOFF BETWEEN Siegel and Gandhi
TX-13 D: RUNOFF BETWEEN Trujillo and Sagan
TX-16 R: RUNOFF BETWEEN Williams and Armendariz-Jackson
TX-17 D: RUNOFF BETWEEN Kennedy and Jaramillo
TX-18 R: RUNOFF BETWEEN for Champion and Cadena
TX-20 D: Castro
TX-20 R: RUNOFF BETWEEN Garza and Allen
TX-22 D: Kulkarni
TX-23 R: RUNOFF BETWEEN Gonzalez and Reyes
TX-24 D: RUNOFF BETWEEN Olson and Valenzuela
TX-26 D: Iannuzzi
TX-28 D: Cuellar
TX-29 R: Blanco
TX-30 D: Johnson
TX-32 R: Collins
TX-33 D: Veasey
TX-35 R: RUNOFF BETWEEN Sharon and Hayward


Everything has now been called aside from the previously noted CA races

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

CA-8: Obernolte (R) and Bubser (D)

[Anti Democrat Democrat Club]

Looking at this, it's very strange to see certain elements on the left embrace actual meme candidates. I actually saw this in my own state with Levi Sanders's run. For those who aren't familiar with Bernie's son, he is everything that the anti-Bernie alarmists think Bernie is. To put it plainly, the man is an abrasive egotist. He didn't even live in the district in a primary race where there was already heavy scrutiny on carpetbagging. A Tier 1 candidate explicitly moved here to run for Congress, and he somehow thought it was a good idea to jump into the clown car of well-qualified progressives and siphon votes away.

His entire campaign strategy consisted of ranting about how Chris Pappas was against Medicare for All and whining about how everyone was persecuting him. Very little substance was offered beside a poor imitation of his father's M4A stump speech, he made no effort to reach out to voters, and bombed hard. It really says a lot that he failed to break 2%. The only Berniecrat who performed worse had his union base cannibalized by Pappas.

As I noticed Cenk's campaign, it was clear he was closer to Levi Sanders. His campaign consisted solely on attacking Smith on fossil fuels. Not to mention his actual views being absolutely ****ed, coupled with his resistance to his own staff at TYT unionizing. Just imagine the millions of dollars and man-hours people raised for Cenk going to an actual candidate with substance, like Jessica Cisneros, Alex Morse, Marie Newman, or building up the grassroots movement.

tl;dr: There are plenty of progressive candidates out there. Don't choose memes.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Swing and historically competitive CA Districts:

CA-4: 61.7% GOP
CA-7: 54.5% Dem+GRN
CA-10: 55.1% GOP
CA-21: 55.5% GOP
CA-22: 59.1% GOP
CA-24: 52.2% Dem
CA-25 Reg: 52% GOP
CA-25 Special: 52.6% GOP
CA-26: 61.2% Dem
CA-31: 60.4% Dem
CA-36: 57.7% Dem
CA-39: 50.6% GOP
CA-45: 51.4% GOP
CA-48: 52.8% GOP
CA-49: 54% Dem
CA-50: 58% GOP
CA-52: 62.6% Dem

So the GOP currently on track to win back six of the seven house seats they lost in the state last time, with only the 49th seeing the Dems get another term. 

[Xing]

Swing and historically competitive CA Districts:

CA-4: 61.7% GOP
CA-7: 54.5% Dem+GRN
CA-10: 55.1% GOP
CA-21: 55.5% GOP
CA-22: 59.1% GOP
CA-24: 52.2% Dem
CA-25 Reg: 52% GOP
CA-25 Special: 52.6% GOP
CA-26: 61.2% Dem
CA-31: 60.4% Dem
CA-36: 57.7% Dem
CA-39: 50.6% GOP
CA-45: 51.4% GOP
CA-48: 52.8% GOP
CA-49: 54% Dem
CA-50: 58% GOP
CA-52: 62.6% Dem

So the GOP currently on track to win back six of the seven house seats they lost in the state last time, with only the 49th seeing the Dems get another term. 

Yeah, just like they were on track to hold all of these seats in 2018.

[Gracile]

Swing and historically competitive CA Districts:

CA-4: 61.7% GOP
CA-7: 54.5% Dem+GRN
CA-10: 55.1% GOP
CA-21: 55.5% GOP
CA-22: 59.1% GOP
CA-24: 52.2% Dem
CA-25 Reg: 52% GOP
CA-25 Special: 52.6% GOP
CA-26: 61.2% Dem
CA-31: 60.4% Dem
CA-36: 57.7% Dem
CA-39: 50.6% GOP
CA-45: 51.4% GOP
CA-48: 52.8% GOP
CA-49: 54% Dem
CA-50: 58% GOP
CA-52: 62.6% Dem

So the GOP currently on track to win back six of the seven house seats they lost in the state last time, with only the 49th seeing the Dems get another term. 

If you're going to make these sweeping statements about the composition of the primary electorate and it's impact on the general election, you should probably note the final party breakdowns for the 2018 primary:

CA-10: 52.1% GOP - 47.9% D
CA-21: 62.8% GOP - 37.2% D (!)
CA-25: 51.8% GOP - 48.2% D
CA-39: 53.3% GOP - 44.9% D
CA-45: 51.7% GOP - 46.1% D
CA-48:  53.0% GOP - 46.0% D

The initial GOP share in all but two of these districts is already down from the final GOP share in 2018 (and keep in mind with the way late ballots skew Democratic, these numbers will be sure to drop in the coming weeks). If anything, this is a pretty underwhelming sign for the Republicans.

[Oryxslayer]

https://twitter.com/WinWithJMC/status/1235765326714937345?s=19

It's up to the Californians to speak reason here I guess. If it wasn't for us and our understanding of the state, everyone would have declared Young Kim the winner.

For reference, the numbers above are the numbers put out by the CA SoS yesterday on the amount of unprocessed ballot. A bit more will still come in since they are postmarked-on-election-day ballots and still going by snail mail. This is about equal to the current number of processed votes. Late votes always are more democratic than the votes processed on election night.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

California

Uncounted ballots (statewide): 2,889,325

Refer to the specials thread for the call on the CA-25 Special.

Uncalled Races: CA-12 Slot 2, CA-18 Slot 2, CA-19 Slot 2, CA-25 Slot 2, CA-27 Slot 2, CA-28 Slot 2, CA-29 Slot 2, CA-37 Slot 2, CA-40 Slot 2, CA-42 Slot 2, CA-43 Slot 2, CA-44 Slot 2, CA-45 Slot 2, CA-47 Slot 2, CA-50 Slot 2, CA-53 Slot 2

Latest Calls:

CA-14 Slot 2: Petel (R)
CA-25 First Slot: Smith
CA-32 Slot 2: Scott (R)
CA-33 Slot 2: Bradley (R)
CA-34 Slot 2: Kim

Margin in key districts:

CA-4: 60.2% GOP
CA-7: 56.7% Dem+GRN
CA-10: 53.8% GOP
CA-21: 55.2% GOP
CA-22: 56.9% GOP
CA-24: 56.3% Dem
CA-25 Reg: 51.4% GOP
CA-25 Special: 52.3% GOP
CA-26: 62.1% Dem
CA-31: 61.6% Dem
CA-36: 58.9% Dem
CA-39: 49.9% GOP - 45.3% Dem
CA-45: 50.3% GOP
CA-48: 51.6% GOP
CA-49: 55.6% Dem
CA-50: 56.8% GOP
CA-52: 64.3% Dem

[Greedo punched first]

I don't know if these have been called, but I'm positive of the primary outcome.

CA-47 slot 2: John Briscoe (R)
CA-53 slot 2: Georgette Gomez (D)

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Tonight we have the primaries in MISSISSIPPI. Polls close at 8 ET.

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/03/10/us/elections/results-mississippi-primary-elections.html

Contested Races: Sen D, MS-2 D&R, MS-3 D&R, MS-4 R


WNN will also be continuing to watch the CA results and will make additional calls there if possible.