State Legislature Special Election Megathread v2

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Late ballots are not helping Mr. Mendoza. The August 7 SD 32 Runoff will be between Topalian (R) and Delgado (D).

Bob J. Archuleta
(Party Preference: DEM)
10,175   
11.9%
Rudy Bermudez
(Party Preference: DEM)
3,821   
4.5%
Vanessa Delgado
(Party Preference: DEM)
13,915   
16.3%
John Paul Drayer
(Party Preference: DEM)
947   
1.1%
Darren Joseph Gendron
(Party Preference: DEM)
432   
0.5%
Tony Mendoza
(Party Preference: DEM)
12,238   
14.3%
Vivian Romero
(Party Preference: DEM)
3,755   
4.4%
Vicky Santana
(Party Preference: DEM)
5,617   
6.6%
Ali S. Taj
(Party Preference: DEM)
4,934   
5.8%
Ion Sarega
(Party Preference: REP)
7,932   
9.3%
Rita Topalian
(Party Preference: REP)
21,849   
25.5%

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

SD-01: Frostman (D) 51%, Jacque (R) 49%
AD-42: Plumer (R) 53%, Lloyd (D) 45%, Rubinstein (I) 2%

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Welcome to the last major state legislative special elections of the 2017-18 cycle. While there will be one election in CA and one election in AR in August, neither is expected to be competitive. The excitement, for all intents and purposes, ends tonight. Polls will close at 9 ET tonight.

For both elections, results are reported individually by county. Add up results from all counties to get the total result.

-----------------------------

WI Senate 1:

Brown County - https://www.co.brown.wi.us/i_brown/d/county_clerk/election_results/06122018/el45_zero-reports.pdf?t=1526917179

Calumet County - http://www.co.calumet.wi.us/index.aspx?NID=139

Door County - No page available?

Kewaunee County - http://www.co.kewaunee.wi.gov/section.asp?linkid=2231&locid=192

Manitowoc County - http://elections.co.manitowoc.wi.us:8011/nsccalo/eltotals

Outagamie County - http://www.outagamie.org/home/showdocument?id=57713

------------------

WI Assembly 42:

Columbia County - http://www.co.columbia.wi.us/columbiacounty/countyclerk/ElectionInformation/ElectionReturnResults/June12,2018ElectionResults/tabid/3685/Default.aspx (though in another annoyance of covering these elections, you have to manually total up each precinct to get the total - there is no running total for the whole county on the page. An alternative source would be welcome if one can be found.)

Dane County - https://elections.countyofdane.com/electiondetail.aspx?id=97

Dodge County - http://www.co.dodge.wi.gov/home/showdocument?id=28239

Fond Du Lac County - something may appear at http://www.fdlco.wi.gov/departments/departments-a-e/county-clerk/election-results eventually.

Green Lake County - No page available?

Marquette County - http://www.co.marquette.wi.us/home/showdocument?id=11173

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Calumet County so far:

TOTALS 895 Jacque (R) 818 Frostman (D) 2 Write-in

Manitwoc County so far:

3 Of 12 Units Have Reported

Office   Candidate Name   Votes
STATE SENATOR 1ST DIST.   REP-ANDRE M JACQUE    232
STATE SENATOR 1ST DIST.   DEM-CALEB FROSTMAN    134
STATE SENATOR 1ST DIST.   SCATTERING    0

So 1127 Jacque (R), 952 Frostman (D), 2 Write-IN

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Frostman (D) up 1,137 to 1,121 in Kewaunee County with 11 of 14 units in. It went 61% in favor of Trump btw.

Where are you getting figures for this county? The page at http://www.co.kewaunee.wi.gov/section.asp?linkid=2231&locid=192 isn't giving me anything.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Brown County coming in:

State Senator District 1
(VOTE FOR) 1
(WITH 14 OF 19 PRECINCTS COUNTED 73.68%)
Andre M. Jacque (REP) . . . . . . 2,783 57.30
Caleb Frostman (DEM). . . . . . . 2,067 42.56
WRITE‐IN (REP). . . . . . . . . 7 .14

Manitwoc County:

7 Of 12 Units Have Reported

Office   Candidate Name   Votes
STATE SENATOR 1ST DIST.   REP-ANDRE M JACQUE    1592
STATE SENATOR 1ST DIST.   DEM-CALEB FROSTMAN    1345
STATE SENATOR 1ST DIST.   SCATTERING    0

Calumet County (still coming in):

TOTALS Jacque 1353 Frostman 1612 Write-In 3

Still nothing in Door or Outgamie.

----------

Adding together the four counties we have:

Jacque (R) 7488
Frostman (D) 6688
Write-In 10

 

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Calumet County is done, and Frostman just barely pulled it out:

TOTALS Jacque 2126 Frostman 2148 Write-IN 5

Manitowoc County:

8 Of 12 Units Have Reported

Office   Candidate Name   Votes
STATE SENATOR 1ST DIST.   REP-ANDRE M JACQUE    1814
STATE SENATOR 1ST DIST.   DEM-CALEB FROSTMAN    1490
STATE SENATOR 1ST DIST.   SCATTERING    0

Outagamie County dumps everything at once:

Andre M. Jacque (REP)  .  .  .  .  .  .     1,168   44.65
         Caleb Frostman (DEM).  .  .  .  .  .  .     1,447   55.31
           WRITE-IN.  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .         1     .04
              Over Votes .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .         0
             Under Votes .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .  .         2

Door County Dumps, Frostman wins 4712 to 2804


There are still votes to count in Brown and Manitowoc Counties, but here's the totals so far:

Frostman (D) 13528 52%
Jacque (R) 12455 48%

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

So is Frostman registered to run for the primary for SD-01? This seat is up again this cycle, iirc. So he probably has to begin campaigning immediately (again).

Is WI's legislative session over for the year?

Barring a special session, yes.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Nothing from Walker or S. Pressler yet.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Thank you for tracking down those last 5 brown precincts.


Manitowoc:

9 Of 12 Units Have Reported

Office   Candidate Name   Votes
STATE SENATOR 1ST DIST.   REP-ANDRE M JACQUE    1864
STATE SENATOR 1ST DIST.   DEM-CALEB FROSTMAN    1506
STATE SENATOR 1ST DIST.   SCATTERING    0


So with 3 precincts left, Totals are:

Frostman (D) 14432 52%
Jacque (R) 13406 48%

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Oh and in less inspiring news, Republicans held the other seat:

42nd Assembly District Filling Vacant Seat
98% OF PRECINCTS REPORTING
    Jon Plumer (R)   5,648   53%
    Ann Groves Lloyd (D)   4,816   45%
    Gene Rubinstein (I)   278   3%

Matches my prediction exactly

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Manitowoc is done:

12 Of 12 Units Have Reported

Office   Candidate Name   Votes
STATE SENATOR 1ST DIST.   REP-ANDRE M JACQUE    2258
STATE SENATOR 1ST DIST.   DEM-CALEB FROSTMAN    1680
STATE SENATOR 1ST DIST.   SCATTERING    0


Final Totals:

Frostman (D) 14606 51%
Jacque (R) 13800 49%

Again, another exact match of my prediction. I accept my accolades.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Walker did not comment on the SD-1 race directly, but he did post this article in a complaint about the "hatred of the left": https://www.nationalreview.com/2018/06/wisconsin-democrat-candidates-use-trump-tactics/

He also posted this:  @BarackObama and his big government allies finally announced what we’ve always known, they’re targeting our race in Wisconsin. We need your help to stand up and combat their out-of-state money and attacks. Support our bold reforms: https://t.co/I8C41wuTtE

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

There are no further special elections until July 31. The mods should probably lock this thread until July 29 or 30 as a result.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

After a long break, we now have elections to follow again! Here's the Schedule for Late July/August:

July 31

Texas
See also: Texas state legislative special elections, 2018
[show]☐ Texas State Senate District 19   

Candidates:

Democratic Party Pete Gallego
Democratic Party Roland Gutierrez
Democratic Party Charles Urbina Jones
Democratic Party Tomas Uresti
Republican Party Jesse Alaniz
Republican Party Peter Flores
Republican Party Carlos Antonio Raymond
Libertarian Party Tony Valdivia

Rating: Likely Democratic

August 7

California
See also: California state legislative special elections, 2018
[show]☐ California State Senate District 32   

Candidates:

Democratic Party Vanessa Delgado
Republican Party Rita Topalian

Rating: Safe Democratic

August 14

Arkansas
See also: Arkansas state legislative special elections, 2018
[show]☐ Arkansas State Senate District 8

Candidates:

Republican Party Frank Glidewell
Libertarian Party William Whitfield Hyman

Rating: Safe Republican

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Results will be here after 8 ET: https://enrpages.sos.state.tx.us/public/jul31_330_state.htm

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

RACE   NAME      PARTY   EARLY VOTES   PERCENT   TOTAL VOTES   PERCENT
State Senator, District 19               
Jesse (Jay) Alaniz   REP   239   2.02%   239   2.02%
Peter P. (Pete) Flores   REP   2,642   22.38%   2,642   22.38%
Pete Gallego   DEM   3,497   29.63%   3,497   29.63%
Roland Gutierrez   DEM   3,735   31.64%   3,735   31.64%
Charlie Urbina Jones   DEM   504   4.27%   504   4.27%
Carlos Antonio Raymond   REP   520   4.40%   520   4.40%
Thomas Uresti   DEM   528   4.47%   528   4.47%
Tony Valdivia   LIB   137   1.16%   137   1.16%
-----------      -----------   
Race Total      11,802      11,802   
Precincts Reported      8   of   350 Precincts      2.29%

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Wait, so, I know I'm late to this, but is Pete Gallego actually working backwards, so to speak? I don't think it's very common at all that former Congresspeople go back to state legislatures, no?

He must really want to hold public office bad.

Yep. Also he tried to run for his old seat last cycle and lost despite the fact that Hillary carried his district.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

RACE   NAME      PARTY   EARLY VOTES   PERCENT   TOTAL VOTES   PERCENT
State Senator, District 19               
Jesse (Jay) Alaniz   REP   274   1.90%   276   1.90%
Peter P. (Pete) Flores   REP   3,250   22.64%   3,312   22.89%
Pete Gallego   DEM   4,831   33.65%   4,863   33.62%
Roland Gutierrez   DEM   4,173   29.07%   4,182   28.91%
Charlie Urbina Jones   DEM   539   3.75%   541   3.74%
Carlos Antonio Raymond   REP   583   4.06%   583   4.03%
Thomas Uresti   DEM   553   3.85%   554   3.83%
Tony Valdivia   LIB   151   1.05%   152   1.05%
-----------      -----------   
Race Total      14,354      14,463   
Precincts Reported      17   of   350 Precincts      4.86%

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

RACE   NAME      PARTY   EARLY VOTES   PERCENT   TOTAL VOTES   PERCENT
State Senator, District 19               
Jesse (Jay) Alaniz   REP   278   1.92%   291   1.81%
Peter P. (Pete) Flores   REP   3,286   22.74%   3,837   23.96%
Pete Gallego   DEM   4,870   33.70%   5,291   33.05%
Roland Gutierrez   DEM   4,177   28.90%   4,608   28.78%
Charlie Urbina Jones   DEM   541   3.74%   587   3.66%
Carlos Antonio Raymond   REP   591   4.09%   615   3.84%
Thomas Uresti   DEM   554   3.83%   611   3.81%
Tony Valdivia   LIB   152   1.05%   168   1.04%
-----------      -----------   
Race Total      14,449      16,008   
Precincts Reported      85   of   350 Precincts      24.29%

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

RACE   NAME      PARTY   EARLY VOTES   PERCENT   TOTAL VOTES   PERCENT
State Senator, District 19               
Jesse (Jay) Alaniz   REP   282   1.91%   305   1.79%
Peter P. (Pete) Flores   REP   3,344   22.72%   4,286   25.21%
Pete Gallego   DEM   4,972   33.78%   5,590   32.88%
Roland Gutierrez   DEM   4,265   28.97%   4,782   28.12%
Charlie Urbina Jones   DEM   547   3.71%   605   3.55%
Carlos Antonio Raymond   REP   595   4.04%   630   3.70%
Thomas Uresti   DEM   559   3.79%   628   3.69%
Tony Valdivia   LIB   154   1.04%   175   1.02%
-----------      -----------   
Race Total      14,718      17,001   
Precincts Reported      111   of   350 Precincts      31.71%

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

The Race will proceed to a runoff. An exact date for the runoff has not been formally set, but I'd expect it to be scheduled for Nov. 6.



RACE   NAME      PARTY   EARLY VOTES   PERCENT   TOTAL VOTES   PERCENT
State Senator, District 19               
Jesse (Jay) Alaniz   REP   329   2.02%   424   1.76%
Peter P. (Pete) Flores   REP   4,263   26.21%   7,722   32.08%
Pete Gallego   DEM   5,300   32.59%   7,201   29.92%
Roland Gutierrez   DEM   4,393   27.01%   6,124   25.44%
Charlie Urbina Jones   DEM   570   3.50%   740   3.07%
Carlos Antonio Raymond   REP   666   4.09%   834   3.46%
Thomas Uresti   DEM   571   3.51%   778   3.23%
Tony Valdivia   LIB   168   1.03%   241   1.00%
-----------      -----------   
Race Total      16,260      24,064   
Precincts Reported      315   of   350 Precincts      90.00%

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Final:

RACE   NAME      PARTY   EARLY VOTES   PERCENT   TOTAL VOTES   PERCENT
State Senator, District 19               
Jesse (Jay) Alaniz   REP   340   2.04%   456   1.74%
Peter P. (Pete) Flores   REP   4,419   26.57%   8,965   34.37%
Pete Gallego   DEM   5,406   32.51%   7,541   28.91%
Roland Gutierrez   DEM   4,431   26.64%   6,351   24.35%
Charlie Urbina Jones   DEM   580   3.48%   783   3.00%
Carlos Antonio Raymond   REP   696   4.18%   912   3.49%
Thomas Uresti   DEM   578   3.47%   798   3.06%
Tony Valdivia   LIB   178   1.07%   271   1.03%
-----------      -----------   
Race Total      16,628      26,077   
Precincts Reported      350   of   350 Precincts      100.00%

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

The D-R vote share is 61-38. For reference, Clinton won this seat by 12 points. TX-23 is nearly coterminous with this seat. But yes, Hurd is favored because of ow turnout Hispanics!

For the record, changed to 59-40 D in the last 10% of precincts.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Tonight is the Election in CA State Senate 32! Polls close at 11 ET. Results here:

https://vote.sos.ca.gov/special/state-senate/district/32