Montana AG Tim Fox not running for Senate: "This all changed post slam"

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

I can see GOPers scratching their heads on this one. There aren't many other well-known candidates for them.

Tester is going to be re-elected and they should just accept that.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

1. This changes nothing. Fox was overhyped anyway.
2. Lol@the overreactions.
3. Lol@at anyone who believes Fox will easily win a gubernatorial race.
4. Lol@this:

I can see GOPers scratching their heads on this one. There aren't many other well-known candidates for them.

Tester is going to be re-elected and they should just accept that.

Tester's reelection isn't funny, but it's going to happen. And as one of the few pro-coal dems left, he has my enthusiastic endorsement.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

1. This changes nothing. Fox was overhyped anyway.
2. Lol@the overreactions.
3. Lol@at anyone who believes Fox will easily win a gubernatorial race.
4. Lol@this:

I can see GOPers scratching their heads on this one. There aren't many other well-known candidates for them.

Tester is going to be re-elected and they should just accept that.

Tester's reelection isn't funny, but it's going to happen. And as one of the few pro-coal dems left, he has my enthusiastic endorsement.

#gamechanger

Actually, no, Tester will get reelected regardless of my impact.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Tester's reelection isn't funny, but it's going to happen. And as one of the few pro-coal dems left, he has my enthusiastic endorsement.

Well, I guess this seals the deal, then. You heard it here, folks... why even hold an election now? It's totally clear that Tester will win in 2018 and Governor Fox is a shoo-in in 2020.

Sorry, but this forum likes to overreact to everything. The one thing I do agree with you on is that it's now much more likely that Fox runs for governor in 2020. If the Democrats nominate a decent candidate (I really like Laslovich), I might be tempted to vote against him assuming I even live in the state in 2020. I'd love to see Fox losing a gubernatorial race, especially given how overrated he is on this forum.

2018 will be a D year. Without Fox or Zinke, who do republicans have  left that can realistically beat a popular incumbent in a D year? Name somebody.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

- While Katie McGinty did much better than expected, I was right about her being a bad candidate - she still lost to Pat Toomey, when Sestak and maybe Fetterman would have won.

- Every senate race will be nationalized. Some a bit less, some a bit more - but every race will be nationalized. You sound like some democrat from 2014 arguing that Mark Begich is safe because of "local issues" - well, guess what, he lost. Not by as much as some other senators, but he still lost. No republican is going to beat Tester because of "Drones!! AAH!!!". If Tester loses to Rosendale, it will be because Trump's approvals have resurged to the high 40s. That's not impossible, but it's hard to see happening. Fox or Zinke have enough star power that they stood a credible chance of winning even in a situation where Trump's approvals are in the low 40s.

- MT-AL special wasn't nationalized because dems didn't think until near the end that the race was competitive, and they were right - in any sane state #assaultgate would have pulled Assaulterforte under a majority, but in Assaultana, he still got a majority. The state was dead-set on electing Assaulterforte no matter what he did. In 2018, dems will pull out every stop to secure Tester, and he won't be running against Assaulterforte.