Which McCain state does Hillary have the best chance of winning?

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

GA > AZ > MO > AR

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

How many times does GA need to go consistently Republican before people stop considering it competitive? Minnesota and Georgia have about the same voting margins but does anyone consider Minnesota a possible GOP state, NO!

STOP DOING THIS!

I, at least, don't expect her to win any of the four states in the poll. But if Clinton wants to pick a long shot state to campaign in, GA is probably the one where she has the best, though still anemic, chance of pulling off a miracle.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

How many times does GA need to go consistently Republican before people stop considering it competitive? Minnesota and Georgia have about the same voting margins but does anyone consider Minnesota a possible GOP state, NO!

STOP DOING THIS!

Actually Minnesota was quoted as a possible swing state in 2012 by some pollsters,  mostly right wing ones.

Romney actually was stupid enough to believe them and ran ads here in the final days. Positive ads, interestingly enough.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

None, and I'm still nowhere near convinced she'll have a good shot at holding North Carolina/Colorado/Iowa.

Doesn't need them if she wins Ohio.

True, but it doesn''t exactly bode well downballot (All three states have competitve Senate Elections, among other things).

And yes, I do think Ohio will be closer than North Carolina and Colorado (Iowa, however could take most the night to decide)

Iowa does not have a competitive senate race. Grassley is uber-popular and utterly safe, even if Tom Vilsack runs.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

None, and I'm still nowhere near convinced she'll have a good shot at holding North Carolina/Colorado/Iowa.

Doesn't need them if she wins Ohio.

True, but it doesn''t exactly bode well downballot (All three states have competitve Senate Elections, among other things).

And yes, I do think Ohio will be closer than North Carolina and Colorado (Iowa, however could take most the night to decide)

Iowa does not have a competitive senate race. Grassley is uber-popular and utterly safe, even if Tom Vilsack runs.

We're still assuming Grassley won't change his mind right before the filing deadline or something?

He's said he's running for reelection, and I see no reason not to believe him.