CA-Sen: California Quake

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Imagine a Kamala Harris vs. Carly Fiorina Senate race. I would rate that Lean D.

LOLOLOLOLOL

Barbara Boxer was unpopular in terms of her approval rating in 2010, and Fiorina still lost by 10 points in a republican Tsunami. She's not going to beat Kamala Harris with presidential turnout.

The only republican candidate who can possibly win a D vs. R race with presidential turnout (that I can think of) is David Valadao (R, CA-21), and even his chance of winning would be no higher than 20%. However, republicans may not want to court him, as doing so could very well mean watching his house seat go democratic in 2016.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Steyer will run. You heard it here first.

Steyer is just terrible. Argh.

The best democrat would be Harris or Newsom.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

holy christ, shut the f[inks] up steyer no one wants you to be their senator.
*snip*

This

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Why did they poll the head to head as Garcetti v. Harris? What kind of ish is that?

This was a PPP internal. The questions were set by the one who paid for the poll, which in this case was not PPP.

PPP found McClintock 28, Harris 27, Kashkari 12, everyone else in single digits. No Becerra/Villaraigosa/Steyer.


Steyer's team calls him Cincinnatus. In the fine self-funding tradition, of course.

Look Closer, they included Steyer.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Becerra seriously considering.

WTF.... wait for Pelosi and Hoyer to retire and he has a great shot at moving up in House leadership.

Pelosi will be in congress until she is either primaried or dies.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Steyer out.

Splendid news!

LET THE WORLD REJOICE!!!

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Sanchez can just run again in 2018 if she loses in 2016. Feinstein is almost certainly not going to run again, and even if she does there will still be the open governor's seat if that's the sort of thing Sanchez would be interested in.

I know you dems like to fantasize about the whole party standing aside for Harris out of fear of the R vs R possibility, but that's just not how things work when an opportunity to move up to the senate comes up for the first time in over 20 years in a gigantic state. This was always going to be a contested primary, Harris was never going to be able to scare away all of the 40+ possibilities listed by wikipedia.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

From Wikipedia:

Democratic Party

Declared

Stewart Albertson, attorney and Army veteran[5]
Kamala Harris, California Attorney General[6]

Potential

Xavier Becerra, U.S. Representative and candidate for Mayor of Los Angeles in 2001[7][8]
Louis Caldera, former Director of the White House Military Office, former United States Secretary of the Army, and former State Assemblyman[9]
Tony Cárdenas, U.S. Representative[10]
John Garamendi, U.S. Representative, former Lieutenant Governor of California, former California Insurance Commissioner and former Deputy Secretary of the Interior[11][12]
Jane Harman, Director, President and CEO of the Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars, former U.S. Representative and candidate for Governor in 1998[13][14]
Kevin Johnson, Mayor of Sacramento and former professional basketball player[15]
Sam Liccardo, Mayor of San Jose[14]
Gloria Molina, former Los Angeles County Supervisor[10]
Janet Napolitano, President of the University of California, former United States Secretary of Homeland Security and former Governor of Arizona[3]
Alex Padilla, Secretary of State of California and former State Senator[4][16]
Raul Ruiz, U.S. Representative[11][16]
Linda Sánchez, U.S. Representative[17]
Loretta Sanchez, U.S. Representative[18][19][20]
Hilda Solis, Los Angeles County Supervisor, former United States Secretary of Labor and former U.S. Representative[16]
Jackie Speier, U.S. Representative and candidate for Lieutenant Governor in 2006[22][16][23]

Republican Party

Declared

Rocky Chavez, State Assemblyman[50][51][52]
Tom Del Beccaro, former Chairman of the California Republican Party[53][54][55]
John Estrada, businessman and candidate for California's 20th congressional district in 1994 and 1998[56]
Mark Hardie, attorney and author[57][58]
Don Krampe, candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2012[59]
Tom Palzer, retired urban planner[60]

Potential

Mary Bono, former U.S. Representative[16]
Carl DeMaio, former San Diego City Council member, candidate for Mayor of San Diego in 2012 and candidate for California's 52nd congressional district in 2014[61]
Tim Donnelly, former State Assemblyman, Minuteman founder and candidate for Governor in 2014[34][62]
David Dreier, former U.S. Representative[63]
Larry Elder, talk radio host and attorney[64][65]
Abel Maldonado, former Lieutenant Governor of California, candidate for California State Controller in 2006, for CA-24 in 2012 and for Governor in 2014[10]
Kevin McCarthy, U.S. Representative and House Majority Leader[31]
Doug Ose, former U.S. Representative[29]
Steve Poizner, former California Insurance Commissioner and candidate for Governor in 2010[14]
Al Ramirez, businessman and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2010 and 2012[66]
George Sundheim, former Chairman of the California Republican Party[53][67]
Meg Whitman, CEO of Hewlett-Packard and nominee for Governor in 2010[14][2]
Phil Wyman, former State Senator, former State Assemblyman and perennial candidate[68]

Independent

Potential

Angelina Jolie, actress, filmmaker and former Goodwill Ambassador for the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees[82][83]

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Hell no to the Blue Dog!!!!!!!! It's bad enough that we have 1 terrible Senator, it had better not become 2.

LOL. Feinstein is not a conservadem.