Mississippi 2015 Megathread

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Gray at 50.23%. 1495/1811 reporting.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Interesting results, didn't expect Gray to do that well. Wasn't Slater favored?

Yes, but that means nothing when half the primary voters are mindless freaks who just select the first name listed on the ballot.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Gray at 50.34%. 1560/1811 reporting.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Interesting results, didn't expect Gray to do that well. Wasn't Slater favored?

Yeah but the Mississippi dems were never going to win this race anyways

Sure.  Do I have to change my prediction to R>60% if Gray wins? I'm still undecided on that.

Depends on whether AA turnout will be just low or if it will be nonexistent

Bryant broke 60% against a Black Mayor in 2011. He can definitely do it against Gray. He could even break 65%.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Interesting results, didn't expect Gray to do that well. Wasn't Slater favored?

Yeah but the Mississippi dems were never going to win this race anyways

Sure.  Do I have to change my prediction to R>60% if Gray wins? I'm still undecided on that.

Depends on whether AA turnout will be just low or if it will be nonexistent

Bryant broke 60% against a Black Mayor in 2011. He can definitely do it against Gray. He could even break 65%.

Yeah, Wonder if this could further decimate dems downballot

Well, the only statewide officeholder left is Hood, and he's probably unbeatable.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

GRAY AT 51% NOW. HAHA.

Back down to 50% now. 1619/1811 reporting.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Gray back to 51%. 1674/1811 reporting.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Gray still at 51%. 1757/1811 Reporting.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

In State House District 121, the two democratic candidates are tied at 323 votes each with 100% of the vote in. How is the winner determined there?

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

In State House District 121, the two democratic candidates are tied at 323 votes each with 100% of the vote in. How is the winner determined there?

Not sure what you are seeing. I saw Crawford winning with 57% or 58% of vote.

I'm talking about the Democratic numbers. The Dawkins/Pearse race.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

I'll say it again, Democrats totally deserve this for nominating awful candidates. They could have at least ran a mayor like Connie Moran or somebody like that. But instead they got behind a trial lawyer from Madison and got burned in the primary because she had no name ID. Rickey Cole is an idiot.

I think the democrats were originally going for Childers or Presley. But when neither would run, they were sent scrambling.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Well, it looks like Robert Gray isn't a raving lunatic, nor is he a Bible-thumping conservative.

Source?

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Not sure where all this whining is coming from. Both Slater and this random truck driver would have been beaten like canon fodder in a 60-40 rout no matter what. The race wasn't competitive. Besides, it's not as if anyone took the Mississippi Democratic Party (or Mississippi in general) seriously before this anyways.

Slater (and Short) actually campaigned for the nomination. Slater was vigorously supported by party leaders. Yet Gray, who had ZERO name recongition, literally raised $0, did not have a single campaign sign , and who did not even vote for himself, wins, without a runoff. This is the sort of stuff that is NEVER supposed to happen in politics. Gray will lose by a wider margin in November than Slater or Short would have, and that could matter in close legislative races.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

The following runoffs will take place on the 25th:

GOP Southern Public Service Commissioner
GOP State House 24, 46, 87
DEM State House 27, 30, 36, 42, 70
GOP State Senate 18, 47
DEM State Senate 34, 38
DEM Central Transportation Commissioner

MS Experts, which races should be the most competitive?

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Polls in today's runoffs close in just over an hour.

Results: http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2015/by_state/MS_Page_0825.html?SITE=AP&SECTION=POLITICS

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Britton is leading 64-36 for Southern Public Service Commissioner. Turnout is very low - 6 precincts in but only 50 votes have been cast.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

apparently the entire state forgot that there was a runoff today.

1% in for Transportation Commissioner, Coleman leading Amos 78-22 with <200 votes cast.
2% in for Public Service Commissioner, Britton leading Smith 61-39 with <300 votes cast.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Big Dump in SHD 36, Gibbs losing by 14 points with 25% in.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

15% in for Public Service Commissoner, Britton leading 65-35
10% in for Transportation Commissioner, Coleman leading 70-30

No calls on anything yet. Only a small number of races have a leader with under 60% though:

State House 30 - Huddleston leading 57-43 with 11% in
State House 36 - Davidson leading 57-43 with 25% in
State House 46 - Oliver leading 56-44 with 24% in

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Gibbs catching up in State House 36. Trailing only 51-49 now with 35% in.

Huddleston leading 'only' 55-45 in State House 30 with 17% in.

Barnett and Tyson (State Senate 34/47) have 'only' 57% of the vote at 43/29 % in.

Oliver is up 59-41 in State House 46 with 42% in.

All the other local race leaders are leading by >20 points.

Britton leading 62-38 with 32% in, Coleman leading 72-28 with 17% in.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

First call of the night: Britton wins 61-39 with 53% in!

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Got another call now: Coleman wins 66-34 with 50% in

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Some more calls:

Walker defeats Lacy 54-46 in State House 24 with 96% in!
Gibbs defeats Davidson 57-43 in State House 36 with 100% in!
Barnett defeats Chinn 63-37 in State Senate 34 with 100% in!
Seymour defeats Tyson 56-44 in State Senate 47 with 91% in!

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Brooks is only trailing by 6 now in State Senate 38, but 87% of the vote is already in, may be too little, too late.

Branning leading only 54-46 in State Senate 18 with 57% in.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Johnson defeats Davis 60-40 in State House 87 with 88% in!
Hale defeats Goudy by 13 votes in State House 24!

Not yet called:

State House 30
State House 42
State House 46
State House 70
State Senate 18
State Senate 38