VA Early Voting #s

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Fairfax and NOVA now well above the statewide average and trending up. 

SW and downstate still way below the statewide average and stagnant.

Definitely looks like Dems aren't engaged.

But you see, swaths of "neoliberal hawkish" Biden voters in NoVA are going to vote for Youngkin (who's totally a moderate) because something something school boards and "CRT."

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Looking at the early voting numbers, either the polls are headed for a huge miss, or election day turnout, especially in much of rural VA is going to be massive.

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Looking at the early voting numbers, either the polls are headed for a huge miss, or election day turnout, especially in much of rural VA is going to be massive.

Or... the polls can be accurate too. This early voting data is not really telling much of a story. If anything, I expected much more early vote by now.

Is the premise here that the early vote total is "large" and therefore good for Democrats? How did we go through 2020 and still we can't comprehend how Dem skewed the early vote is and how R-skewed the election day vote is? That pattern is going to continue.

My point is that if the polls are accurate, I would expect massive ED turnout, especially in more Republican areas of the state, which would offset the early vote.

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Thank goodness for memes, since to me, they're the only bearable thing about these threads right now.