March 2021-- Which is Most Likely? (user search)
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  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  2024 U.S. Presidential Election (Moderators: Likely Voter, GeorgiaModerate, KoopaDaQuick 🇵🇸)
  March 2021-- Which is Most Likely? (search mode)
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Poll
Question: Which of the following scenarios is most likely for the political future of Donald Trump?
#1
Trump hints about running in 2024, but fades away due to loss of enthusiasm/legal troubles
 
#2
Trump hints about running in 2024, but dies before the primaries officially start
 
#3
Trump announces his campaign, but is forced to drop out due to legal complications/pressure from the GOP
 
#4
Trump announces his campaign, but the moderate vote consolidates around a candidate who defeats him in the primaries
 
#5
Trump wins the nomination and then dies sometime after the convention
 
#6
Trump wins the nomination but is forced to drop out, and gets replaced with a more moderate candidate
 
#7
Trump wins the nomination, runs in the general, and loses
 
#8
Trump wins the nomination, runs in the general, and wins a second term
 
#9
Trump doesn't run, but anoints a successor who easily sweeps the primaries
 
#10
Trump doesn't run and actively criticizes the GOP nominee
 
#11
Other (specify in comments)
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 72

Author Topic: March 2021-- Which is Most Likely?  (Read 1850 times)
Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
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Posts: 30,320
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Political Matrix
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« on: March 05, 2021, 11:18:29 AM »

He would almost certainly win the nomination if it were today, but three years is an eternity for another candidate to get attention, and I think it's more likely than not that the 2024 nominee is not Trump.
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