Florida 2022 Megathread

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Crist's performance in 2014 was actually very respectable given the environment & the fact that every other statewide race was a double-digit GOP blowout. I wouldn’t expect him to win, but also wouldn’t underestimate him or completely write him off. Republicans are very much favored, but this state certainly isn’t less competitive than IA or OH (either for Senate or Governor).

One key factor, though, was that Scott was very unpopular in 2014, and that’s not true of DeSantis at the moment. I agree that the FL races will be closer than the ones in IA/OH, and I don’t buy that DeSantis and Rubio will get authoritarian NUT maps, but I don’t think Crist, whose performances since 2016 haven’t been that impressive, would have much of a chance or would be a particularly strong candidate, especially given that he’d be running as a former Governor who already lost a gubernatorial race.

[Xing]

At this point, it wouldn't surprise me if Rubio got over 60% of the vote in the next election, as well as De Santis.

That's about as likely as Masto and Sisolak getting over 60%.

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Also — PPP is dropping a statewide poll today or tomorrow. Based on what I've heard about the figures, expect to see a lot of COPE from certain individuals on this web site.

I’ll expect to see at least 20 posts and perhaps a couple of new threads about how awful PPP is.

[Xing]

I don’t think Fried would win, but I do think Crist is overrated and pretty much an empty opportunist.