New Hampshire Primary Thread (polls close at 6-7 CT)

[Xing]

Sanders - 2
Buttigieg - 1
Klobuchar - 1

[Xing]

Love to read analysis based on 30 early votes out of an expected 250k or so.

It wouldn’t be Atlas without people drawing multiple conclusions based on tiny data points from places 99% of Americans have never heard of.

[Xing]

At this point, I kinda feel bad for Biden. I wonder if he didn’t even want to run, but was pressured by enough people and assumed that it’d be easy enough with his early polling numbers. Buttigieg will probably get a decent second tonight, which is impressive, but it’s hard to see where he goes from there.

[Xing]

Looking like Sanders will probably pull this out. Won’t be a huge win, but win is a win, I suppose. Gonna be a long primary.

[Xing]

Even if Buttigieg does somehow come back and win (not looking likely), how is he going to win the nomination with 0% of black voters and with Sanders dominating among Latinos?

[Xing]

Even if Buttigieg does somehow come back and win (not looking likely), how is he going to win the nomination with 0% of black voters and with Sanders dominating among Latinos?

How about we let a state that has black voters in them vote before we say he has 0% of their votes.

Somehow, I doubt Buttigieg is actually dominating among black voters if he’s polling that badly.

[Xing]

While it’s not exactly terrible for Sanders, since he won, and that’ll be part of the narrative (along with Klobuchar’s performance), it was pretty lackluster. While he may have enjoyed more of a quasi-home state effect last time than this time, going forward Sanders should hope that polling is right about how he’s doing with Latinos. If it is, he should feel good about his chances in Nevada, as well as California. Honestly though, this race is wide open, and with Biden doing this poorly, it’s a very good question how AAs will vote.