Iowa Caucus Results Thread (pg 148 - full results)

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Finally, the 2020 election begins! Aren’t we going to be getting results from Tbilisi at noon? Or will those not be available until the caucus sites close within the state itself? Also, what county/CD will those be counted in?

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Trump wins all delegates. The end.

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https://twitter.com/joshuakucera/status/1224372781820891137?s=20

Awww, no overreacting to a small data point?

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*Breaking News*

Bernie currently leading first round with 93%, Warren a distant second with 7%.

Stop the count!

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Overreactions to initial results... this is the Atlas I know and love.

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Wut? Paris and Glasgow... nobody there votes for Joe Biden? Absolutely NOTA? Come on, man.

I would guess more people in these areas who are U.S. citizens will be voting in the Democrats Abroad Primary, and I'm sure Biden will at least get some votes (though I expect Sanders to win that primary.)

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The only thing I'm really getting out of these early satellite caucuses is entertainment value. Of course it means very little in terms of the actual results, but let's not forget what site we're on, now.

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The only thing I'm really getting out of these early satellite caucuses is entertainment value. Of course it means very little in terms of the actual results, but let's not forget what site we're on, now.

So you’re saying I shouldn’t have changed my rating from Safe Bernie to Likely Biden after the St. Petersburg caucus results were declared?

Why Likely Biden instead of Likely Klobuchar?

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Joe Bush even has the same initials as Jeb Biden.

Was this intentional or a Freudian slip?

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Yes, the Des Moines result is obviously extremely good for Sanders, but that’s like... less than 1% of all votes in.... in one contest. Calm down.

You're a couple pages late in telling people to "calm down" about satellite caucus results

Okay you’re right

I’m calling IA for Sanders now.

In the GE, right? I mean, the caucus was a foregone conclusion hours ago.

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I'm confused. Are we doing some sort of ironic peak Atlas thing overreacting to a few hundred satellite caucus voters? Or am I missing something?

It's an election year, so the overreaction is amplified by about 100.

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What a mess. Anyway, people shouldn’t be writing Biden’s obituary yet. Yes, it looks like he did terribly, but last I checked, SC is still coming up, and Buttigieg is at 0% among black voters (and Sanders isn’t exactly doing great, either.) Assuming what we know is right, this hurts Biden (less than it would have if the results had come in properly) but unless another candidate scoops up a lot of his support, he’s nowhere near out of the race.

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Wait, people actually think that Sanders is to blame for this? JFC.

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Where are all of you getting these county results?

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I'd actually feel pretty good about Nevada if I were Sanders.

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62% is oddly specific. What's the issue with the remaining precincts?

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I guess when the candidate people don't like wins the popular vote but loses it's good thing.

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I guess when the candidate people don't like wins the popular vote but loses it's good thing.

Maybe the Sanders camp should have done a better job at getting other supports to support their campaign in the second realignment?

He's currently leading the second realignment, though. It's purely the delegate allocation that's giving Buttigieg a lead.

Anyway, typical Atlas. Sanders was the inevitable nominee and Biden was finished, now Sanders is finished and Biden is the inevitable nominee. Some of you really need to keep cooler heads.

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It’s possible that Sanders could narrowly pull ahead if the remaining precincts in the more urban counties are more favorable to him, but it’s more likely he just narrows the gap somewhat. If this contest is any indication, Sanders’s coalition is going to look very different from his 2016 coalition.

Also, screw you Iowa for making me need to potentially watch for results on a Wednesday.

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Any word on when we're getting more results? Or is New Hampshire going to have all of its results in before Iowa?

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Early afternoon, whatever that means.

https://twitter.com/edokeefe/status/1225106172094701569?s=20

So, maybe before 5:30 PM, then?

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When all the results finally come in, the true winner of the caucus will be the friends we made along the way.

Honestly, I think we all lost more friends than we gained in this messy process.

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Looks like this was mostly from more rural/suburban counties. Nothing new from Polk, Story, Linn, Johnson, or Black Hawk. Biden might still fall short of 15%.

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Those are good results for Biden out of Black Hawk, but he'll also need to improve in Polk and Story.

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There is obviously something wrong with the results if Deval Patrick randomly jumped up to 22 SDEs after having none

This does seem very strange.