Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
Posts: 30,326
Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91
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« on: October 19, 2019, 03:48:08 PM » |
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Honestly, I'd say that margins in many counties are just as important as who wins them. Edwards could conceivably get BTFO in rural Louisiana but still survive if he gets really strong numbers out of the New Orleans area, though depending on how badly he loses rural Louisiana, even 55-56% in Jefferson might not be quite enough to save him. In MS, I could see DeSoto being closer than expected even in a relatively comfortable win for Reeves (assuming he does well in NE MS.)
As for KY, maybe Beshear can keep it within single digits (high single digits, that is) if he comes close in counties like Oldham and Kenton. It's not going to be enough to offset the Bevinslide in rural KY, though.
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