Be honest: It's two weeks before the 2016 election, and you see the NV result... (user search)
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  Be honest: It's two weeks before the 2016 election, and you see the NV result... (search mode)
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Poll
Question: Based on Nevada alone, how confident would you have been that Clinton would win the EC?
#1
Congratulations, Madame President		  
#2
Almost certain she's got it		  
#3
It seems likely, but I need to see PA and VA		  
#4
Probably she won?		  
#5
Toss-up		  
#6
It doesn't look good for her		  
#7
It looks very bad for her, but I need to see PA and VA		  
#8
Almost certain Trump's got it		  
#9
Congratulations, President Trump		  
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results
Total Voters: 67

Author Topic: Be honest: It's two weeks before the 2016 election, and you see the NV result...  (Read 2231 times)
Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,318
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« on: September 06, 2018, 05:40:48 PM »
I'd be pretty sure she was going to lose. The idea some people had that PA was sure to vote far to the left of NV was pretty funny. If that's the best a Democrat can do in NV, they're not having a good night.
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Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,318
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« Reply #1 on: September 06, 2018, 06:59:24 PM »
Quote from: Lodestar Runner on September 06, 2018, 06:44:08 PM
Quote from: xīngkěruì on September 06, 2018, 05:40:48 PM
I'd be pretty sure she was going to lose. The idea some people had that PA was sure to vote far to the left of NV was pretty funny. If that's the best a Democrat can do in NV, they're not having a good night.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/

And that forecast proved to be wrong, since the polls underestimated Trump in most states, but overestimated him in Nevada (which is one of the few things I consistently got right in 2016.)
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