CPRM, Pt 3: LA 11/6

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I mean, primary results aren't the be-all end-all, but yeah, these results look terrible for Republicans.

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I mean, primary results aren't the be-all end-all, but yeah, these results look terrible for Republicans.

Democrats typically do a tick better in the general than they do in the jungle primary, so...

Republicans' main hope right now is that there's still lots of votes left to count.

Reminder that all the pundits think WA-03 is "safe R" and that AZ-09, CA-24, CT-05, NV-04, and NH-02 are only "likely D." What utter morons these "experts" are.

I mean, I still think Herrera-Beutler is favored, but yeah, Safe R is definitely being too generous. And I may have been underestimating Lisa Brown.

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WULFRIC PROJECTIONS - VT:

U.S. Senate

Democratic Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Bernie Sanders*
140   92.7%   
Folasade Adeluola
11   7.3   
151 votes, 1% reporting (2 of 275 precincts)

No PSA on how socialism will destroy America?

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These results from CT are terrible for the Rs.

Explain please. I heard the CT candidates are MAGA loyalists mostly, but I'm not sure about that.

Not only the turnout, but Boughton was viewed as the one to make it competitive. He was the """moderate""".

Erin Stewart, who was polling the best for Republicans, before getting pushed down to the LG race, is currently losing the LG race.

Yeah, she was the Republicans' best hope for picking up CT-GOV, but it looks like CT Republicans want to lose in November.

Democrats are naturally going to have stronger numbers in CT and VT, but I'm definitely going to want to see what the numbers look like in MN and WI, though primary turnout isn't everything.

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I will laugh my ass off if Pawlenty actually loses.

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Nicholson winning in Northeast Wisconsin is big.

His leads are small, though, and Vukmir's margins in WOW will be hard for him to overcome, even if he dominates the remaining counties.

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Nicholson wouldn't have beaten Baldwin, but Vukmir will lose by more. Also, Democrats just took the lead in primary votes cast, and there's still nothing from Dane.

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HAHAHAHAHA

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1029558706575495168

Goodnight, sweet prince.

To think Sabato moved the race from Lean D to Tossup because he entered lol.

They moved it back, lol:

https://twitter.com/geoffreyvs/status/1029559048465723392

Now that the primary is done in Wisconsin, Evers won handily, and Democrats got significantly more votes, there is no excuse not to move WI-GOV to Toss-Up. But watch it not happen

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But I thought Driftless loved Walker!

Anyway, it's looking like Republicans are going to face some pretty severe backlash in the Midwest this year, but Democrats shouldn't take that to mean that 2016 was a fluke. Simply that the trends in 2016 aren't set in stone. Democrats could lose WI, MI, OH, and PA again in 2020 if they get complacent, even if they win the Senate and Gubernatorial races in all four states this year.

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Wait, was the general election for WI-GOV held today? Because reading through the last 15 pages of this thread, you’d think Walker has already lost and WI is as blue as IL.

Walker still has a chance (not moving this race out of Toss-Up unless we get a Marquette poll showing him down by a decent margin), and of course Wisconsin is still a swing state, but it's hard to analyze tonight as anything but bad for Republicans in the state. As I said earlier, what happens this year doesn't necessarily indicate what's to come, but as of right now, it doesn't look good for Republicans in the Midwest running this year.

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So many #hottakes in this thread. I'd say: Toss-Up ->Toss-Up

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Meanwhile, one result that I am really disappointed by is Shalala winning. Ugh...