AZ-08: April 24 general election (Update: Lesko-R wins by 4.72 points) (user search)
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  AZ-08: April 24 general election (Update: Lesko-R wins by 4.72 points) (search mode)
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Author Topic: AZ-08: April 24 general election (Update: Lesko-R wins by 4.72 points)  (Read 50907 times)
Xing
xingkerui
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Posts: 30,318
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Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

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« on: March 14, 2018, 07:03:27 PM »
I mean, especially after Alabama and PA-18, I'm not ready to rule out anything at this point, but it's unlikely, since this district is significantly more Republican than PA-18. I'll say Likely R out of an abundance of caution.
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Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,318
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Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« Reply #1 on: April 16, 2018, 11:13:32 PM »
I'm skeptical that this is actually going to be that close. But if it is a single-digit race, Republicans are going to get shellacked this November. Right now, I'm thinking Lesko by about 10%.
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Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,318
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« Reply #2 on: April 24, 2018, 01:08:51 PM »
Lesko probably wins by mid-high single digits, or possibly low double digits. I’ll sure be looking forward to Trump/Republicans spinning this like crazy... “AMAZING come-from-behind victory for underdog and rising star Debbie Lesko! Beat the Democratic spending machine in a very competitive district! #NoBlueWave”
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Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,318
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« Reply #3 on: April 24, 2018, 10:39:16 PM »
Quote from: Cardi B-Inspired Blue Wave on April 24, 2018, 10:33:27 PM
This means nothing. A lot of the Trumpistas sat this one out with such low turnout.

And many of them won't show up in November either, since Trump won't be on the ballot.

Anyway, this was even narrower than I thought it would be, and Sinema's gotta be pretty happy right about now.
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