Gubernatorial Ratings and Predictions - Vermont (user search)
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  Gubernatorial Ratings and Predictions - Vermont (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Poll
Question: Rate Vermont and Predict Who Will Win
#1
Safe D
 
#2
Likely D
 
#3
Lean D
 
#4
Toss-Up
 
#5
Lean R
 
#6
Likely R
 
#7
Safe R
 
#8
Sue Minter (D)
 
#9
Phil Scott (R)
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 52

Calculate results by number of options selected
Author Topic: Gubernatorial Ratings and Predictions - Vermont  (Read 2511 times)
Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,326
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« on: October 27, 2016, 10:49:24 PM »



Pure Toss-Up. I'll say Minter ends up ahead 48-46, meaning she won't officially be declared the winner until the legislature votes her in.

Current Balance of Power:
Republicans: 29
Democrats: 17
Independents: 1

Ratings:



Safe D: Delaware (Jack Markell), Oregon (Kate Brown)
Likely D: Montana (Steve Bullock)
Lean D: Missouri (Jay Nixon), North Carolina (Pat McCrory)

Toss-Up: Indiana (Mike Pence), New Hampshire (Maggie Hassan)
Lean R: -
Likely R: -
Safe R: North Dakota (Jack Dalrymple), Utah (Gary Herbert)


Predictions:



Past winners:

John Carney (D-DE)
John Gregg (D-IN)
Chris Koster (D-MO)
Steve Bullock (D-MT)
Colin Van Ostern (D-NH)
Roy Cooper (D-NC)

Doug Burgum (R-ND)
Kate Brown (D-OR)
Gary Herbert (R-UT)

Previous Threads: (You can still vote in these!)
Delaware Indiana Missouri Montana New Hampshire North Carolina North Dakota Oregon
Utah
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Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,326
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« Reply #1 on: November 02, 2016, 03:34:40 PM »

Really having a tough time with this one, but I'm going to say Scott gets a 48-47 plurality now.
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Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,326
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« Reply #2 on: November 02, 2016, 06:02:09 PM »

I don't get why it took so long for people to realize that Scott is favored, but he doesn't have it in the bag.

People think the presidential race impacts downballot races in a big way.

The presidential race may impact gubernatorial races less than Senate or House races, but I wouldn't say that there's no correlation.
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