Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
Posts: 30,318
Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91
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« on: August 26, 2016, 10:59:57 PM » |
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Republicans are obviously the favorites. If the senate is 50/50 or 51/49 D (both of which are very plausible), Democrats can almost certainly kiss their majority goodbye in 2018. If the Democrats have a great year this year, and end up with 54 or even 55 seats, they have a chance to hold it, but it's probably 50/50 at best. Manchin is toast, McCaskill, Donnelly, and Heitkamp are underdogs, and there are other potentially vulnerable Democrats as well (Tester, Brown, not to mention the seat in VA.) NV is the only realistic pick-up opportunity for Democrats, so they're facing an awful map.
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