Democratic Nevada Caucus results thread (entrance poll @2pm ET) (user search)
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  Democratic Nevada Caucus results thread (entrance poll @2pm ET) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Democratic Nevada Caucus results thread (entrance poll @2pm ET)  (Read 46660 times)
Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
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Posts: 30,307
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« on: February 20, 2016, 02:13:11 PM »
Wait, no entrance polls until 12 PT!? When will we actually get results?
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Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,307
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« Reply #1 on: February 20, 2016, 03:13:25 PM »
Looks like we're not learning much from the entrance poll. Big surprise.
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Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,307
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« Reply #2 on: February 20, 2016, 03:19:40 PM »
Quote from: ͡◔ ᴥ ͡◔ on February 20, 2016, 03:13:50 PM
Clark County is 51-47 Clinton, apparently.

Source?
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Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,307
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« Reply #3 on: February 20, 2016, 03:22:17 PM »
Seems like any result from a 10-point Clinton win to a 6-point Sanders win is in the cards.
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Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,307
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« Reply #4 on: February 20, 2016, 03:30:59 PM »
Looks like the CNN entrance polls are shifting in Sanders' favor.
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Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,307
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« Reply #5 on: February 20, 2016, 03:35:47 PM »
I have a hard time believing that Sanders is winning Latinos by 11 percent. I could buy him being close to even with Clinton...
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Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,307
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« Reply #6 on: February 20, 2016, 03:44:29 PM »
Quote from: HagridOfTheDeep on February 20, 2016, 03:41:33 PM
Quote from: King Wilhelm I of Prussia on February 20, 2016, 03:40:17 PM
Quote from: HagridOfTheDeep on February 20, 2016, 03:37:38 PM
Congratulations, Republicans. There is no way Democrats win if Sanders is the nominee, even if he becomes president.

Excuse me, but isn't that a bit contradictionary?

No. A Sanders presidency would be absolutely disastrous for the left in the long term and in the short term.

We're getting a little ahead of ourselves, aren't we? If there's anything the 2016 election has taught us so far, it's that conventional wisdom is often completely wrong.
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Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,307
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« Reply #7 on: February 20, 2016, 04:26:12 PM »
I'm waiting for everyone to call this race for Clinton, and then see Sanders improve his numbers in Washoe and Clark, which will cause everyone to call it for Sanders.
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Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,307
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« Reply #8 on: February 20, 2016, 04:29:58 PM »
Clinton gains in Clark, Sanders gains in Washoe.
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Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,307
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« Reply #9 on: February 20, 2016, 04:31:23 PM »
Quote from: MW Representative RFayette on February 20, 2016, 04:30:39 PM
People are overreacting big time to slight changes.   

Welcome to Atlas Smiley
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Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,307
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« Reply #10 on: February 20, 2016, 04:38:32 PM »
OMFG! Numbers changed in Bernie's favor! SANDERSMENTUM!
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Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,307
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« Reply #11 on: February 20, 2016, 04:45:34 PM »
I wouldn't call this race just yet. We don't know which votes are missing from Clark and Washoe. I agree, Clinton is more likely to win, but let's not get too reactionary.
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Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,307
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« Reply #12 on: February 20, 2016, 05:05:57 PM »
Everyone spins everything. Iowa was good for Bernie because he was once down by 50. It was good for Clinton because it was supposed to be a great state for Bernie. New Hampshire was great for Bernie, because he crushed Hillary there. It was no big deal for Hillary, because it was practically a home state for Bernie. Coming close in Nevada is great for Bernie, because he can compete in a diverse state. For Hillary in Nevada, a win is a win.
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Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,307
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« Reply #13 on: February 20, 2016, 05:14:34 PM »
This result doesn't really change the race much. Hillary's clearly favored, but she definitely doesn't have the nomination sewn up.
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Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,307
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« Reply #14 on: February 20, 2016, 05:17:37 PM »
Sanders almost certainly didn't win Latinos, though I wouldn't be surprised if it ended up being somewhat close. Anyway, congrats, Clinton supporters.
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Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,307
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« Reply #15 on: February 20, 2016, 07:19:42 PM »
Quote from: yourelection on February 20, 2016, 07:16:09 PM
If turnout is down compared to the last two primary seasons, what does that tell us about the chances of a democratic win in November?

Not much. There's more uncertainty on the Republican side this year, which wasn't the case in 2008.
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Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,307
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« Reply #16 on: February 21, 2016, 01:41:01 AM »
Well, if it's any consolation for us Sanders supporters, assuming it's a 19-16 split in Nevada, Sanders will still be ahead of Clinton in pledged delegates (by 1.) Obviously, that won't be true after South Carolina, but still.
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