Never
Never Convinced
Jr. Member
Posts: 1,623 Political Matrix E: 4.65, S: 3.30
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« on: May 11, 2014, 09:18:53 PM » |
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I think it is important to see who Nunn gets to 50% against in this poll (Kingston, Broun, and Gingrey). If any of those three Republicans somehow got nominated, Nunn would probably be able to win. On the other hand, Perdue is holding her to a 1% lead, and the primaries haven't even happened yet. If he wins the nomination, I'm thinking that he will get a bump in support that will be enough to give him the lead. If I'm not mistaken, the Atlanta Journal-Constitution also polled the governor's race, which shows Deal leading Carter by 4 points. Considering Deal probably has more baggage than Perdue, it would appear that Deal is maintaining his edge because he doesn't have any Republican opponents. We will probably see Perdue with a lead along that line once he doesn't have conservative opposition. I'm sure that this same line of thinking would apply to Handel as well if she becomes the GOP Senate nominee, but an 8 point deficit in the polls is nothing to shrug off. Handel would have to come out of the primaries swinging, working hard to rally support. Given Georgia's Republican lean, Handel can probably win this election, but she will have to fight for it.
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