NYC Mayor/2021 Megathread

[Suburbia]

The South Shore of Staten Island did not get any Democratic mayoral visits, fueling the intensity of a potential secession from NYC in the future, especially if Adams is mayor and if Cuomo is reelected in 2022 and Malliotakis loses to a Democrat if her district becomes more liberal, diluting the white conservative base that elected Giuliani and Bloomberg....

https://www.silive.com/politics/2021/07/cold-shoulder-report-says-top-dem-mayoral-candidates-steered-clear-of-south-shore-in-primary-campaign.html

[Suburbia]

Will Eric Adams win Staten Island in the GE?

Despite progressive rethoric and his campagins focus on crime Adams is not the NYPD canidate. He was in facted hated by much of the NYPD for being outspoken against the department back in the day, their Union refused to endorse him telling their members that they should absoutley not rank him.

His chance of winning Staten Island is minimal.

Will Eric Adams win Staten Island in the GE?

That's a good question.  Is racial polarization too salient in NYC, or can a diverse conservative-populist coalition be built?

Eric Adams has precisely zero appeal among republican white conservatives, his cultural conservatism is restricted to that of Partisan Democrats.

Bill DeBlasio won Staten Island in 2013. I think it remains to be seen how much turnout Silwa can attract, but Staten Island isn't exactly a hard right region in terms of their politics either having voted for Democrats at the national and state levels previously.

de Blasio lost SI in 2013 by 9-10 points because Lhota was a MTA boss, and SI has the highest congestion pricing hikes in NYC.....so a lot of Republicans stayed home

Adams could win SI, but it is unlikely.

[Suburbia]

Does Adams win Howard Beach, Glendale, Bay Ridge and Bensonhurst?

I don't think people take Sliwa seriously.

[Suburbia]

Does Adams win Howard Beach, Glendale, Bay Ridge and Bensonhurst?

I don't think people take Sliwa seriously.

The beret probably has that affect on people. I certainly can't.

But he is also white and running against a black man, so it negates that a bit and he'll do about as well as a generic Republican in Staten Island at least.

So basically another Giuliani-Dinkins type of thing, but Staten Island's demographics have gotten more browner since 1993; SI is still white, but it is probably 60% or 55% white now, and a lot of Latinos/Black live on the North Shore, and the South Shore is the most Republican out of all the areas in NYC other than Broad Channel/Belle Harbor and probably Whitestone/Douglaston/Little Neck...

[Suburbia]

Dems on the forum should do research on Silwa.

Certainly he might not agree with most of the leftists on policy but the guys entire life has been devoted to keeping the streets and trains safe and getting help for the most vulnerable in the city. He walks the walk and talks the talk and in todays day and age thats extremely rare. I don't agree with a lot of what he says but I sit on my laptop in suburbia most of the day while he's been living the life for decades now. I can't say sh**t.

Sliwa would be a good choice for AG or some law enforcement position statewide or nationally....I can see Sliwa being DHS Secretary or Crime Czar in a Republican administration....

[Suburbia]

Dems on the forum should do research on Silwa.

Certainly he might not agree with most of the leftists on policy but the guys entire life has been devoted to keeping the streets and trains safe and getting help for the most vulnerable in the city. He walks the walk and talks the talk and in todays day and age thats extremely rare. I don't agree with a lot of what he says but I sit on my laptop in suburbia most of the day while he's been living the life for decades now. I can't say sh**t.

Sliwa would be a good choice for AG or some law enforcement position statewide or nationally....I can see Sliwa being DHS Secretary or Crime Czar in a Republican administration....

He'd never get elected statewide but i could see him getting appointed to one of those positions by a future Republican president.

Or a centrist Democratic president or so.....but he is not going to win and he probably knows it, that's why he is not campaigning as heavily as Lhota and Malliotakis did....he'll go back to Canarsie and run Guardian Angels and he'll go back to WABC-AM

Sliwa and Catsimiditis, or Cats, they are wealthy and bored men who have nothing else to do...

[Suburbia]

Dems on the forum should do research on Silwa.

Certainly he might not agree with most of the leftists on policy but the guys entire life has been devoted to keeping the streets and trains safe and getting help for the most vulnerable in the city. He walks the walk and talks the talk and in todays day and age thats extremely rare. I don't agree with a lot of what he says but I sit on my laptop in suburbia most of the day while he's been living the life for decades now. I can't say sh**t.

Sliwa would be a good choice for AG or some law enforcement position statewide or nationally....I can see Sliwa being DHS Secretary or Crime Czar in a Republican administration....

He'd never get elected statewide but i could see him getting appointed to one of those positions by a future Republican president.

Or a centrist Democratic president or so.....but he is not going to win and he probably knows it, that's why he is not campaigning as heavily as Lhota and Malliotakis did....he'll go back to Canarsie and run Guardian Angels and he'll go back to WABC-AM

Sliwa and Catsimiditis, or Cats, they are wealthy and bored men who have nothing else to do...

Its plausible a centrist president could appoint him. What percentage of the vote do you think he will get?

A centrist democratic president like Conor Lamb or so will have to appoint him as DHS minister especially with the far left pushing the Abolish ICE nonsense.....they will have to appeal to Independent voters....

Sliwa will get 20%-25% of the vote in November.

[Suburbia]

Dems on the forum should do research on Silwa.

Certainly he might not agree with most of the leftists on policy but the guys entire life has been devoted to keeping the streets and trains safe and getting help for the most vulnerable in the city. He walks the walk and talks the talk and in todays day and age thats extremely rare. I don't agree with a lot of what he says but I sit on my laptop in suburbia most of the day while he's been living the life for decades now. I can't say sh**t.

Sliwa would be a good choice for AG or some law enforcement position statewide or nationally....I can see Sliwa being DHS Secretary or Crime Czar in a Republican administration....

He'd never get elected statewide but i could see him getting appointed to one of those positions by a future Republican president.

Or a centrist Democratic president or so.....but he is not going to win and he probably knows it, that's why he is not campaigning as heavily as Lhota and Malliotakis did....he'll go back to Canarsie and run Guardian Angels and he'll go back to WABC-AM

Sliwa and Catsimiditis, or Cats, they are wealthy and bored men who have nothing else to do...

Its plausible a centrist president could appoint him. What percentage of the vote do you think he will get?

A centrist democratic president like Conor Lamb or so will have to appoint him as DHS minister especially with the far left pushing the Abolish ICE nonsense.....they will have to appeal to Independent voters....

Sliwa will get 20%-25% of the vote in November.

only 25 percent? So a call within a few minutes of poll closing?

Yes. Adams will be declared the winner at 9-9:10pm

NYC Republicans know they will lose all the city elections, they don't want to lose ground on the City Council.

They don't want to lose District 32, once a GOP stronghold (Howard Beach, Ozone Park)...the demographics are changing from white-majority Italian-Irish to South Asian and Latino.....

Joann Ariola, a perennial suburban Queens Republican candidate, does not want to lose to a South Asian DSA socialist...in Eric Ulrich's district.

Ulrich is retiring, he may challenge Joe Addabbo again in 2022 in a potential red year.....

https://nypost.com/2021/08/28/nyc-gop-fear-enthusiasm-gap-in-open-city-council-races/

[Suburbia]

Dems on the forum should do research on Silwa.

Certainly he might not agree with most of the leftists on policy but the guys entire life has been devoted to keeping the streets and trains safe and getting help for the most vulnerable in the city. He walks the walk and talks the talk and in todays day and age thats extremely rare. I don't agree with a lot of what he says but I sit on my laptop in suburbia most of the day while he's been living the life for decades now. I can't say sh**t.

Sliwa would be a good choice for AG or some law enforcement position statewide or nationally....I can see Sliwa being DHS Secretary or Crime Czar in a Republican administration....

He'd never get elected statewide but i could see him getting appointed to one of those positions by a future Republican president.

What brough do swia lives in?

Sliwa lives in Manhattan, he is from Brooklyn originally. Canarsie, Brooklyn, a once white middle class neighborhood turned Black middle class neighborhood at risk of sea level displacement.

[Suburbia]

What will the Russians/Italians of south Brooklyn vote in this race

Lean Sliwa, but he will get less votes than Giuliani, Bloomberg, Lhota and Malliotakis...a lot of conservadems and Republicans endorsed Adams....

[Suburbia]

Mr Silwa anyways is going to do more better with younger black and Latino men than ethnic white men

You think Sliwa will do well with young Black men? Isn't that Adams' main bloc?

[Suburbia]

What will the Russians/Italians of south Brooklyn vote in this race

Sliwa. Adams is black and they don't like black people, also they don't like de Blasio and he and Adams are allies.

Just like how Adams will do well with the Afro-Americans/Caribbean of Brooklyn and Queens, they don't like white people, and Sliwa reminds them of Giuliani.

It may be racially polarizing at the end but Adams wins by 40 points, probably, and probably loses Staten Island by 3 points

[Suburbia]

What will the Russians/Italians of south Brooklyn vote in this race

Sliwa. Adams is black and they don't like black people, also they don't like de Blasio and he and Adams are allies.

Just like how Adams will do well with the Afro-Americans/Caribbean of Brooklyn and Queens, they don't like white people, and Sliwa reminds them of Giuliani.

It may be racially polarizing at the end but Adams wins by 40 points, probably, and probably loses Staten Island by 3 points

Your white genocide both sides are racist schtick is getting really old.

I don't believe in white genocide, you want to know why that word is a thing, it is because of crazy leftwingers, even you with all respect who think if you throw shots at white Americans that it will end the racial divide, it's not......

Yes, a lot of Black voters in NYC don't like white people, that is a fact. That is why segregation exists. Yet, Adams will probably win the white and Black vote so at the end of the day it will not matter. de Blasio won the white vote as well...the last Republican to win the white vote was Giuliani or Bloomberg

[Suburbia]

Adams is not wrong. I've been talking about Long Islanders and the affinity with the NYPD for years here---a lot of LI men are cops and they work for the NYPD--a lot of them lost cops and firefighters on 9/11..........condolences to them....I guess Northeastern/Southern Irish-Italian men and women could only be cops/firefighters....


But a lot of suburban Long Islanders (Boomer Esiason, Mike Francesa, etc.) have suburban prejudices of minorities and a lot of cops and firefighters listen to WFAN and other radio stations that broadcast to the NYC suburbs and that helped elect Gulotta, Pete King, Rudy Giuliani, etc...

The racial tension on Long Island since the 1940s has always been there. This is not saying that every Long Islander is a racist, no...but Long Island has racial problems---Long Island is one of the most segregated suburbs in America....you have Garden City-the white, prosperous side and Hempstead--the Black/Latino, poorer section of LI.....

The racial tension is deep that in 1993, an angry Black man shot white suburban passengers and killed many, known as the Colin Ferguson 1993 LIRR shooting....

This is one of the biggest reasons why Long Island is so pro-police, but antigun. The Long Island Republican Party is a template of what the national GOP could have modeled after---white ethnic Irish/Italians who are pro-cop, pro-firefighter but antigun because they are afraid of Black and Latino people....

Adams has support from LI politicians, he has to balance with the cops and the activists

[Suburbia]

Adams returns campaign donations from corrupt NYPD cops......

https://nypost.com/2021/10/04/eric-adams-returns-campaign-donations-from-nypd-cops/

I think Mayor Adams should pick a Black woman as the next NYPD commissioner--the days of Italian/Irish chiefs are over for a while now....they have proven that they cannot reform the police......

[Suburbia]

Any self-respecting person who knows the abuse caused by the police would do and say this. The question is, why are these dirty cops are donating to him in the first place?

He is a cop. He appeals to conservadems and a lot of Republicans who supported Giuliani and Bloomberg are supporting him...a lot of Long Island Republicans crossed party lines to support him...shows that Sliwa is not a serious candidate in their eyes.

[Suburbia]

Adams calls Sliwa a racist today....

https://www.politico.com/states/new-york/albany/story/2021/10/05/adams-laces-into-sliwa-during-radio-interview-calling-him-racist-1391628

When Sliwa loses, the NYCGOP will have to realize that their base is dead. The Giuliani base has moved to NJ/CT/PA/FL/AZ/TX/NC...

The late Guy Molinari predicted it in 1999!!!

[Suburbia]

Congrats to Mayor Adams.

I am surprised he did didn't carry SI.

I don't know how Dems can win SI in Congress next year with that...