Who do you THINK will win the Republican nomination?

[Mr. Morden]

Who's the fool who voted for Ron Paul?

I'm not saying that the people involved aren't nuts, but he does have over a 5% chance according to InTrade.

Yeah, but even if you believe he has a 5% chance, that's a far cry from saying that he's the *most likely* to win the nomination, which is what's being asked in this poll.

[Mr. Morden]

Huckabee is now a relatively close third place in this poll??  I think people are reading a bit too much into short term trends.

[Mr. Morden]

And now Huckabee is in a 3-way tie for the lead with Giuliani and Romney(!).  I know the 2nd place finish in the straw poll was impressive, but don't you people claiming that Huckabee is now the **most likely nominee** think you might be getting a little carried away with this?