https://morningconsult.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/10/161007_crosstabs_trend_LIKELYVOTERS_v2_TS.pdfDems
Clinton 81%
Johnson 6%
Trump 6%
Stein 3%
GOP
Trump 78%
Johnson 9%
Clinton 6%
Stein 1%
Indies
Clinton 30%
Trump 30%
Johnson 19%
Stein 6%
As usual, Johnson draws more from Trump while Stein draws more from Clinton:
People who support Clinton in the 2-way matchup:
Clinton 88%
Johnson 6%
Stein 3%
Trump 0%
People who support Trump in the 2-way matchup:
Trump 87%
Johnson 8%
Stein 1%
Clinton 1%
There’s no gender gap in this poll whatsoever. It’s also yet another poll in which Clinton does better with those making more than $100k than those between $50k and $100k. And just like their last poll, Trump does better in the Northeast than in both the Midwest and West:
men: Clinton +6
women: Clinton +6
income under $50k: Clinton +12
income $50-100k: Trump +5
income over $100k: Clinton +8
whites: Trump +8
blacks: Clinton +84 (Johnson/Trump tied at 2nd w/ 3% each)
Hispanics: Clinton +38
urban: Clinton +28
suburban: Clinton +4
rural: Trump +10
Midwest: Clinton +8
Northeast: Clinton +7
South: Trump +3
West: Clinton +19
fav/unfav %:
Pence 44/34% for +10%
Kaine 31/37% for -6%
Johnson 22/33% for -11%
Clinton 42/56% for -14%
Trump 38/60% for -22%
Relevant for 2020:
Paul Ryan 34/43% for -9%