FOX National Poll: Clinton +2, Trump +18 (user search)
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  FOX National Poll: Clinton +2, Trump +18 (search mode)
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Author Topic: FOX National Poll: Clinton +2, Trump +18  (Read 1437 times)
Mr. Morden
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Posts: 44,066
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« on: April 16, 2016, 08:33:56 AM »

I wonder if the Colorado debacle/ fight with the RNC is helping Trump and hurting Cruz


I suspect this is why Cruz's negatives are going up as well. 

I doubt it.  I don't think that kind of thing has necessarily penetrated the public consciousness enough to break through to voters.  It should be noted, first of all, that when you take all the national polling in aggregate, things haven't really moved all that much ever since all three candidates got a boost from Rubio (and Carson and the others before him) dropping out of the race:



Cruz has taken a bit of a hit, though I think it's not as big a deal with regard to the 3-way horserace #s as it is in 2-way horserace #s for polls that measure that.  Also, his unfavorability among Republicans has gone up somewhat as compared to a month ago.  Basically, before Rubio dropped out, there were several national polls that showed that, in a hypothetical world where Cruz was able to face Trump one-on-one, Cruz would win.  The polling since Rubio dropped out, though, has been more bearish on Cruz.  I think it's just a consequence of the fact that, now that the media narrative finally has it as a Cruz vs. Trump race, Cruz is getting more scrutiny.
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Mr. Morden
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Posts: 44,066
United States


« Reply #1 on: April 16, 2016, 08:42:48 AM »

men: Trump +21 over Cruz
women: Trump +15 over Cruz/Kasich
college degree: Trump +4 over Kasich
no college degree: Trump +26 over Cruz
under 45: Trump +21 over Cruz/Kasich
over 45: Trump +16 over Cruz
under $50k income: Trump +8 over Cruz
over $50k income: Trump +19 over Kasich

2nd choice:

Cruz 32%
Kasich 29%
Trump 19%

Among Kasich voters, 55% have Cruz as second choice, while 24% have Trump.  The rest are other or neither.  Going from that, a hypothetical 2-man race between Cruz and Trump would be:

Trump 51%
Cruz 41%
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