FOX National Poll: Clinton +2, Trump +18

[The Other Castro]

Clinton - 48%
Sanders - 46%

Trump - 45%
Cruz - 27%
Kasich - 25%

http://www.foxnews.com/politics/interactive/2016/04/14/fox-news-poll-national-release-april-14-2016/

With this poll, Clinton and Sanders are now tied for the first time on the RCP average.

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

What's with the random tightening of the Democratic race? It's practically over.

[Landslide Lyndon]

With this poll, Clinton and Sanders are now tied for the first time on the RCP average.

I guess this will be of great comfort for Sanders and his supporters after their double-digit losses at New York, Pennsylvania and Maryland.

[yankeesfan]

Trump +4 since last poll
Cruz -11

The only thing of significance that has happened since the last poll was Cruz winning Wisconsin and Colorado.  Craziness of the 24 hour media.

[Ebsy]

FOX has been swinging wildly from poll to poll. Isn't that normally a sign that the outfit is in trouble?

[swf541]

I wonder if the Colorado debacle/ fight with the RNC is helping Trump and hurting Cruz

[PeteB]

So, Kasich and Cruz are now virtually even? Unless this is an outlier, there is a story developing here.

[Fargobison]

This is a bizarre swing but the GOP national polls have seemed weird to me all cycle.

[Kingpoleon]

So, Kasich and Cruz are now virtually even? Unless this is an outlier, there is a story developing here.

[MK]

I wonder if the Colorado debacle/ fight with the RNC is helping Trump and hurting Cruz

I suspect this is why Cruz's negatives are going up as well. 

[Lyin' Steve]

What's with the random tightening of the Democratic race? It's practically over.

We're at peak Bernmentum, as was predicted six months ago.

[Ebsy]

What's with the random tightening of the Democratic race? It's practically over.

We're at peak Bernmentum, as was predicted six months ago.

The argument was that his "polling trajectory" would cause him to lead Clinton before Iowa. Let's just say, that didn't happen.

[Mr. Morden]

I wonder if the Colorado debacle/ fight with the RNC is helping Trump and hurting Cruz

I suspect this is why Cruz's negatives are going up as well. 

I doubt it.  I don't think that kind of thing has necessarily penetrated the public consciousness enough to break through to voters.  It should be noted, first of all, that when you take all the national polling in aggregate, things haven't really moved all that much ever since all three candidates got a boost from Rubio (and Carson and the others before him) dropping out of the race:



Cruz has taken a bit of a hit, though I think it's not as big a deal with regard to the 3-way horserace #s as it is in 2-way horserace #s for polls that measure that.  Also, his unfavorability among Republicans has gone up somewhat as compared to a month ago.  Basically, before Rubio dropped out, there were several national polls that showed that, in a hypothetical world where Cruz was able to face Trump one-on-one, Cruz would win.  The polling since Rubio dropped out, though, has been more bearish on Cruz.  I think it's just a consequence of the fact that, now that the media narrative finally has it as a Cruz vs. Trump race, Cruz is getting more scrutiny.

[Mr. Morden]

men: Trump +21 over Cruz
women: Trump +15 over Cruz/Kasich
college degree: Trump +4 over Kasich
no college degree: Trump +26 over Cruz
under 45: Trump +21 over Cruz/Kasich
over 45: Trump +16 over Cruz
under $50k income: Trump +8 over Cruz
over $50k income: Trump +19 over Kasich

2nd choice:

Cruz 32%
Kasich 29%
Trump 19%

Among Kasich voters, 55% have Cruz as second choice, while 24% have Trump.  The rest are other or neither.  Going from that, a hypothetical 2-man race between Cruz and Trump would be:

Trump 51%
Cruz 41%

[Sprouts Farmers Market ✘]

Trump dominating with those wealthy young folks!

[Wisconsin+17]

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Where did they poll? Those numbers are ridiculous. 65+?

[Torie]

Three quarters of the Pubs prefer candidates who are unfit for office. Got it.